FNAK79 PAFG 061530 CCA
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE 572 FIASCO LAKE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
723 AM AKDT TUE JUL 6 2010

...THIS CORRECTS THE SYNOPSIS...

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1842 AKDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER FRONT MOVED NORTHWARD OVER THE FIRE MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
MORNINGS WEATHER SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER
THE REGION. THE FAIRBANKS WEATHER RADAR OBSERVED ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT. THE FIRE WILL REMAIN OUT OF
THE REACH OF MOST IF NOT ALL OF THESE SHOWERS THIS MORNING BECAUSE
THEY WILL END UP NORTH OF THE FIRE. THE AIR MASS OVER THE FIRE WILL
BE RATHER UNSTABLE TODAY...AND THERE MAY BE SOME LATE AFTERNOON OR
EVENING SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. AS HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDS OVER THE
REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE AIR MASS ABOVE THE FIRE WILL
REMAIN UNSTABLE AND THERE MAY BE AN EVENING THUNDERSTORM THURSDAY.
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE UP FROM SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON
SATURDAY...LIKELY BRINGING COOLER AND SHOWERY WEATHER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER NOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A LATE
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    AN EVENING THUNDERSTORM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 18 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 14 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN EVENING THUNDERSTORM. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...SCHRICKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100705.FIRE5.01/AFG