FNUS74 KLIX 051217 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 717 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0700 CDT...1010MB LOW LOCATED ABOUT 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. 1020MB HIGH ALG CAROLINA ATLC CST. 8MB GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW AND HIGH. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1013MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDICES... AT 0700 CDT... GALLIANO /KGAO/... 89F HOUMA /KHUM/... 76F GULFPORT /KGPT/... 79F SLIDELL /KASD/... 75F BOOTHVILLE /KBVE/... N/A WEST DELTA /DLP /... 97F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ....COASTAL FLOOD STATMENT...TIDE LEVELS WILL BE ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TODAY. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSE 12KT 250FT...SSE 13KT 500FT...SSE 15KT 1KFT.. S 11KT 2KFT...S 10KT 3KFT...S 10KT 4KFT...S 10KT 5KFT...S 10KT MAX WIND...040/42KT 47KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...MOIST LAPSE ABV. 05/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 07/06/10 SFC...SE 15KT 250FT...SE 15KT 500FT...SE 15KT 1KFT...SE 16KT 2KFT...SE 18KT 3KFT...SE 20KT 4KFT...SSE 20KT 5KFT...SSE 22KT MAX WIND...030/33KT 55KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...MOIST LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031751Z AUTO 09013G21KT 10SM FEW019 SCT027 29/24 A3001 RMK AO2 RAB32E44 SLP163 P0000 60003 T02890244 10300 20267 58004 TSNO METAR KGAO 051200Z AUTO 13003KT 10SM SCT048 SCT060 26/24 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E METAR KHSA 051155Z 05004KT 7SM -RA SCT019 BKN038 BKN095 24/24 A2992 METAR KIPN 051155Z AUTO 16011KT 10SM CLR /56 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051155Z AUTO 22008G18KT 190V250 3SM HZ FEW065 FEW075 SCT090 27/23 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031250Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM 29/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 051155Z AUTO 20014G22KT 3SM HZ FEW003 SCT043 BKN085 26/23 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 051155Z AUTO 15009G16KT 10SM FEW022 31/25 A2989 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 OCNL BKN030...SCT SHRA BKN025CB G30KT TOP 400. KHUM 051136Z 0512/0612 09004KT P6SM VCSH SCT025 BKN040CB FM051400 13008KT P6SM -SHRA BKN030CB TEMPO 0514/0518 3SM TSRA OVC025CB FM051800 13009KT P6SM VCTS BKN025CB TEMPO 0518/0522 2SM TSRA OVC020CB FM060300 13007KT P6SM VCSH BKN030CB KHSA 051136Z 0512/0612 07005KT P6SM -SHRA FEW007 OVC050CB FM051400 10005KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB FM051600 12010KT P6SM -SHRA BKN030CB TEMPO 0516/0520 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM052000 12010KT P6SM VCTS BKN030CB TEMPO 0520/0522 4SM TSRA OVC025CB FM060100 07005KT P6SM BKN030CB AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN030. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...SCT SHOWERS MOVING NORTH AT 20 KTS NEAR THE SPILL LOCATION. EXPECT BRIEF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN. LARGE CLUSTER OF SHOWERS ARE ABOUT 75NM WSW OF THE SOURCE WITH THE CLOSEST LIGHTNING APPROX 100NM WSW OF THIS LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.60 FT AT 0700 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 1.80 FT AT 1600 CDT WYCM6 3.07 FT AT 0700 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 2.40 FT AT 1700 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.6F AT 0600 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........81 81 81 81 81 84 84 84 84 84 84 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 83 83 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............83 80 77 74 74 72 72 72 71 70 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 90 91 91 93 93 93 93 92 92 90 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 9 10 10 9 8 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 15 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........FEW015...SCT/BKN025....................... SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........84 82 82 82 80 80 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 81 81 81 RH..............72 74 77 77 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 89 86 86 86 86 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3600 3100 3100 2700 2200 MIX HGT (M).....1040 1100 940 940 820 670 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 13 S 15 S 15 SE 14 S 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4 SE 6 S 7 S 7 SE 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........80 85 85 85 85 85 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 85 85 RH..............82 82 80 75 75 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 87 91 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 11 SE 12 SE 12 SE 12 SE 12 SE 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 1600 2500 2500 3300 3300 MIX HGT (M).....670 490 760 760 1010 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 SE 20 SE 25 SE 25 SE 36 SE 30 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 SE 9 SE 11 SE 11 SE 16 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............4 4 4 4 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH LC LC CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...EFFERSON REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100705.DEEPW.02/LIX