FNUS74 KLIX 051906 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 206 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1400 CDT...1010MB LOW LOCATED ABOUT 75 NM WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. 1020MB HIGH ALG CAROLINA ATLC CST. 8MB GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW AND HIGH. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1013MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDICES... AT 1400 CDT... GALLIANO /KGAO/... 95F HOUMA /KHUM/... 95F GULFPORT /KGPT/... 89F SLIDELL /KASD/... 93F BOOTHVILLE /KBVE/... N/A WEST DELTA /DLP /... 92F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ....COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT...TIDE LEVELS WILL BE ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TODAY. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 10KT 250FT...SE 10KT 500FT...SSE 10KT 1KFT.. SSE 11KT 2KFT...SSE 13KT 3KFT...S 13KT 4KFT...S 13KT 5KFT...S 12KT MAX WIND...040/42KT 47KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...MOIST LAPSE ABV. 05/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 07/06/10 SFC...SE 15KT 250FT...SE 15KT 500FT...SE 15KT 1KFT...SE 16KT 2KFT...SE 18KT 3KFT...SE 20KT 4KFT...SSE 20KT 5KFT...SSE 22KT MAX WIND...030/33KT 55KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...MOIST LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031751Z AUTO 09013G21KT 10SM FEW019 SCT027 29/24 A3001 RMK AO2 RAB32E44 SLP163 P0000 60003 T02890244 10300 20267 58004 TSNO METAR KGAO 051840Z AUTO 11010KT SCT024 30/24 A2990 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E PWINO METAR KHSA 051853Z 12007KT 7SM SCT027 SCT033 BKN060 25/25 A2993 METAR KIPN 051855Z AUTO 12012KT 10SM CLR 54/47 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051855Z AUTO 23003KT 10SM FEW014 31/24 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031250Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM 29/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 051855Z AUTO 18010KT 10SM SCT014 BKN065 27/24 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 051855Z AUTO 16015G21KT 1/2SM HZ BKN003 BKN022 OVC036 26/24 A2992 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 OCNL BKN030...SCT SHRA BKN025CB G30KT TOP 400. KHUM 051738Z 0518/0618 14010KT P6SM -SHRA BKN020CB BKN050 FM052300 11010KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB BKN050 TEMPO 0523/0603 2SM TSRA BKN012CB FM060300 13007KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM061200 14008KT P6SM VCSH BKN018CB KHSA 051738Z 0518/0618 12010KT 5SM -TSRA SCT015 BKN022CB TEMPO 0518/0522 1SM +TSRA BKN012CB FM052200 12010KT P6SM VCTS BKN030CB TEMPO 0522/0601 4SM TSRA OVC025CB FM060100 10011KT P6SM VCTS BKN025CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN030. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1400 CDT...NUMEROUS SHWRS HAVE DEVELOPED AROUND THE SOURCE AND WILL BE IMPACTING THE AREA. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.61 FT AT 1400 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.40 FT AT 1600 CDT WYCM6 2.45 FT AT 1400 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 2.30 FT AT 1700 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.7F AT 0900 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........84 84 84 84 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 84 RH..............72 71 70 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 92 92 90 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.9 3.9 3.9 MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO RO CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........84 86 86 86 89 89 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 81 81 81 RH..............72 74 78 78 78 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 89 86 86 86 87 20 FT WIND......SE 12 SE 11 SE 13 SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 4000 3200 3200 3300 2600 MIX HGT (M).....1190 1220 980 980 1010 790 TRANSPORT WIND..E 16 SE 24 SE 22 SE 22 SE 28 SE 29 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 7 SE 11 SE 10 SE 10 SE 13 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........89 90 90 90 90 90 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 85 85 RH..............82 82 80 75 75 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 87 91 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 15 SE 16 SE 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2600 2900 2900 3100 3200 MIX HGT (M).....790 790 880 880 940 980 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 29 E 30 E 29 E 29 SE 38 SE 36 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 13 E 13 E 13 E 13 SE 17 SE 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH LC LC CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...EFFERSON REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100705.DEEPW.09/LIX