FNUS74 KLIX 071817 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 117 PM CDT WED JUL 7 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1200 CDT...1021MB HIGH OVER TN DOWN TO 1008MB IN WRN GULF. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1013MB. PLUME OF MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO THE AREA BUT MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDICES... AT 1200 CDT... GALLIANO /KGAO/... 87F HOUMA /KHUM/... 91F GULFPORT /KGPT/... 93F SLIDELL /KASD/...102F BOOTHVILLE /KBVE/... N/A WEST DELTA /DLP /... 95F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ....COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT...TIDE LEVELS WILL BE ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TODAY. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 18KT 250FT...SE 19KT 500FT...SSE 24KT 1KFT.. SSE 25KT 2KFT...SSE 26KT 3KFT...S 28KT 4KFT...S 30KT 5KFT...S 30KT MAX WIND...040/30KT 4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1800FT...MOIST LAPSE ABV. 07/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z THUR 07/08/10 SFC...E 9KT 250FT...E 9KT 500FT...E 8KT 1KFT...E 8KT 2KFT...E 7KT 3KFT...E 8KT 4KFT...E 8KT 5KFT...ENE 8KT MAX WIND...040/27KT 41KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1200FT...MOIST LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W SPECI KBVE 061430Z AUTO 09006KT 4SM -RA FEW014 SCT023 BKN055 27/24 A2994 RMK AO2 RAB15 P0015 TSNO METAR KGAO 071800Z AUTO 11006KT 28/25 A3002 RMK AO2 SKY OBSCURED PWINO METAR KHSA 071750Z 12012G16KT 10SM SCT022 BKN030 29/25 A3004 METAR KIPN 071755Z AUTO 10020KT 10SM FEW020 /58 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 071755Z AUTO 13017G23KT 4SM HZ CLR 28/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031250Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM 29/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 071755Z AUTO 12020KT 6SM HZ FEW020 FEW025 29/26 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 071755Z AUTO 12020KT 8SM FEW022 30/24 A3001 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN015-025 THRU 15Z...AFT 15Z VFR SCT025 BKN-OVC040...SCT TO NUMRS SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 370 AFT 15Z. MARINE AREAS...MVFR SCT030 OCNL BKN020-030...SCT SHRA BKN025CB G30KT TOP 400. KHUM 071727Z 0718/0818 16006KT 5SM SHRA BR SCT006 BKN035 OVC045 TEMPO 0718/0722 2SM +TSRA BR BKN005 BKN035CB FM080200 11009KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN080 FM080400 09003KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 071727Z 0718/0818 12010G15KT P6SM VCTS BKN019 BKN040CB FM080100 12008KT P6SM SCT030 FM080400 06003KT P6SM SCT020= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT030. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA WEST OF THE AREA. MODERATE TO STRONG SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THUR...MVFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MODERATE SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1700 CDT...ALL ACTIVITY REMAINS WELL WEST OF THE AREA WITH THE CLOSEST SHOWER 75NM AWAY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.70 FT AT 1200 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.40 FT AT 1700 CDT WYCM6 2.80 FT AT 1200 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.90 FT AT 1900 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.7F AT 1200 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........75 75 75 75 75 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 84 85 85 85 RH..............77 74 72 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 91 93 93 93 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 14 14 11 20 FT WIND GUST.35 30 30 30 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.7 2.0 2.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28 28 28 TRANS SPD (M/S).13 13 13 13 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............8 8 8 8 8 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........75 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 86 86 85 83 82 RH..............70 68 68 72 77 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 94 94 94 90 89 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 2300 2300 2300 2500 2500 MIX HGT (M).....610 700 700 700 760 760 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 28 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 12 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 13 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 5 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............8 7 7 7 6 6 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH LC LC .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 44 44 44 44 44 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 83 84 85 86 RH..............77 77 74 72 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 88 90 91 94 95 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 E 7 E 6 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2800 2700 2700 3200 3200 MIX HGT (M).....760 850 820 820 980 980 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 7 E 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 5 E 4 E 4 E 4 E 3 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............6 5 5 5 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...EFFERSON REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100707.DEEPW.01/LIX