FNUS72 KMFL 071808
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR COASTAL PRAIRIE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
208 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR COASTAL PRAIRIE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES
WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
IN THE ATLANTIC NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS. THIS WILL KEEP AN EASTERLY
TRANSPORT WIND THROUGH FRIDAY AT GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. A SEA
BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE FIRE SITE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON BUT IT WILL BE VERY SHALLOW AND WEAK. THIS WILL
RESULT IN GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSION BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND POOR AT
NIGHT WITH POOR TO FAIR EARLY IN THE MORNING. MUCH DRIER AIR ALOFT
WILL ALSO BE MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS KEEPING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO A MINIMUM.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............5.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........10     30     30     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............85     92     92     87     84     81
RH..............66     53     52     60     66     69
20 FT WIND......NE 1   E 3    S 5    S 5    W 3    NW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 1   E 3    S 5    S 5    W 3    NW 1
EYE LEVEL WIND..       5      10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   5000   4500   4500   4000   2100
MIXNG WIND......E 6    E 7    E 8    E 8    E 9    E 9
DISPERSION IDX..19     37     40     40     43     4
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.


$$ FORECASTER...BRABANDER REQUESTED BY...CLAYTON CAMBLIN TYPE
OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...CLAYTON CAMBLIN
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, U