FNUS73 KAPX 081244 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE BEES...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 844 AM EDT THU JUL 8 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 EDT ON JULY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA WITH RAIN SHOWERS OUT AHEAD OF IT. WINDS WITH THIS FRONT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY AS THE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. THE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AROUND THE BURN SITE WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...WITH ONE-QUARTER /0.25/ TO ONE-HALF /0.50/ INCH OF RAINFALL EXPECTED. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100) AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR (200). TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........82 82 90 90 90 90 90 90 80 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............76 77 79 79 80 80 81 80 80 RH..............82 76 72 72 67 67 65 67 67 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......100 100 200 200 200 100 100 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....59. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........80 80 75 75 75 60 60 60 40 40 40 40 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC PTY PTY PTY PTY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RN RN RN RN RN RN FOG FOG FOG FOG TEMP............80 79 75 72 69 66 64 63 62 61 61 60 RH..............67 67 76 81 90 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......100 200 200 200 200 100 100 100 100 100 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ REQUESTED BY...ALYEA JOE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100708.BLUEB.02/APX