FNUS74 KLIX 092304 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 604 PM CDT FRI JUL 9 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1800 CDT...1016MB HIGH OVER THE NORTH GULF OF MEXICO. SFC TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 1010 LOW OVER THE VIRGINIA SOUTWESTWARD INTO CENTRAL AL...MS AND LA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME N MEXICO WITH A PRESSURE OF 1010MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1800 CDT... GALLIANO /KGAO/... 94F HOUMA /KHUM/...101F GULFPORT /KGPT/...101F SLIDELL /KASD/...100F BOOTHVILLE /KBVE/...MISG WEST DELTA /DLP /...101F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NE 2KT 250FT...NE 3KT 500FT...NE 2KT 1KFT.. N 3KT 2KFT...E 2KT 3KFT...E 10KT 4KFT...E 14KT 5KFT...E 15KT MAX WIND...036/44KT 40.8KFT. STORM MOTION...126/5KT DRY LAPSE TO 2960FT...INVERSION TO 6400FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 09/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SAT 7/10/10 SFC...W 11KT 250FT...W 13KT 500FT...W 13KT 1KFT...W 13KT 2KFT...NW 8KT 3KFT...N 8KT 4KFT...N 6KT 5KFT...NE 5KT MAX WIND...054/18KT 47KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1150FT...NEARLY ISOTHERMAL TO 1900FT...GENERALLY MOIST LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 092240Z AUTO 19007KT CLR 31/22 A2997 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 092251Z 20005KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A2993 METAR KIPN 092255Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 51/41 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 092255Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 29/23 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 092255Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW024 29/24 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 092255Z AUTO 24009KT 10SM CLR 33/23 A2995 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025 SCT035. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW-SCT025. KHUM 091742Z 0918/1018 11005KT P6SM SCT025 FM092000 14005KT P6SM SCT040 TEMPO 0920/0924 BKN040 FM100100 VRB02KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 1011/1014 5SM HZ FM101700 27005KT P6SM SCT035 KHSA 091938Z 0920/1018 21010KT P6SM VCTS SCT035 BKN050CB FM092200 19008KT P6SM SCT050 FM100100 00000KT P6SM SCT100 FM101600 VRB03KT P6SM BKN035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT W WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1800 CDT...NO SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.59 FT AT 1706 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.40 FT AT 1830 CDT. WYCM6 0.92 FT AT 1706 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.18 FT AT 2200 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........45 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............72 72 74 74 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 89 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 13 13 13 14 14 14 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........F F F F F F F F F F F F SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........39 45 45 45 40 40 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 81 84 85 85 RH..............77 77 85 82 80 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 87 95 97 98 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1700 1600 1600 1300 1200 MIX HGT (M).....550 520 490 490 400 370 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 16 W 16 W 16 W 16 W 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM SM .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........40 45 45 45 50 50 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 84 84 83 83 83 RH..............72 74 74 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 93 90 90 90 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 W 8 W 9 W 8 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1300 1400 1400 1700 2200 MIX HGT (M).....370 400 430 430 520 670 TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 16 SW 17 SW 17 W 18 W 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 W 8 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......M M M M M M .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ERICKSON REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100709.DEEPW.14/LIX