FNUS72 KTAE 090952
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 311...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
552 AM EDT FRI JUL 9 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...THE BURN LOCATION WILL BE LOCATED IN A GENERAL WEST
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH AND AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH. LIGHT WEST WINDS THIS
MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN BECOME
A BIT GUSTY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SEA-BREEZE DURING THE MID
AFTERNOON. DESPITE HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 90S...THE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING A SLOW INCREASE IN LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND HELP PREVENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FROM
DROPPING BELOW 35 PERCENT. LOW CHANCES FOR RAINFALL AS THE
MAJORITY OF THE SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
WELL NORTH OF THE BURN SITE. THE FRONT WILL SETTLE CLOSER DURING
SATURDAY BRINGING EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12
                    MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 5500 FT AGL THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASE 10 TO 12 MPH THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSION....AROUND 70.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............84     92     95     96     96     88
RH..............63     46     39     38     40     53
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 7    SW 10  SW 11  SW 10  SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9      10     14     15     14     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....7.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO
                    12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....AROUND 45.

$$
FORECASTER...MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...BOB AIRHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100709.UNIT3.01/TAE