FNUS73 KDLH 101401 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR DAY LAKE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 901 AM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON JULY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION WILL WARM TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S AND PUSH DEW POINTS INTO THE LOWER 60S AROUND THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL REACH DOWN INTO THE LOWER 40S. WINDS WILL BE DOMINANTLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY STRONGER GUSTS AND ERRATIC WINDS AROUND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. CURRENTLY THERE ARE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OUT THERE AND THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE ONE COULD MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE LATE THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH...SMALL HAIL...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. WE ARE EXPECTING A BREAK THIS AFTERNOON...AFTER 12 NOON....AND THEN A REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...AFTER 3 OR 4 PM BEGINNING OVER MINNESOTA AND SPREADING EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE STRONGER THAN THE ONES THIS MORNING...POSSIBLY EVEN SEVERE. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE NIGHT OVER NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN...BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO LOSE SOME INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...AND AGAIN IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. MIN HUMIDITY........40-44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 TO 23 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (102400) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (140700) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............72 75 80 82 82 RH..............69 57 47 43 47 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 7 8 12 8 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67. MAX HUMIDITY........89-93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000). TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............80 74 70 67 66 65 RH..............51 62 73 81 87 93 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 6 7 7 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN REQUESTED BY...STEVE RADAJ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100710.DAYLA.01/DLH