FNUS74 KLIX 101103 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 603 AM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0600 CDT...1017MB HIGH WAS OVER THE NORTH GULF OF MEXICO. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST U.S. AND GULF COAST STATES. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1017MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 1KT 250FT...SW 1KT 500FT...SW 2KT 1KFT...SW 1KT 2KFT...E 2KT 3KFT...NE 7KT 4KFT...NE 12KT 5KFT...NE 13KT MAX WIND...052/29KT 46.7KFT. STORM MOTION...002/2KT DRY LAPSE TO 1800FT...INVERSION TO 3500FT...ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE TO 5900FT...INVERSION TO 6900FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 10/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 7/11/10 SFC...W 10KT 250FT...W 10KT 500FT...W 10KT 1KFT...W 10KT 2KFT...W 7KT 3KFT...W 3KT 4KFT...W 3KT 5KFT...W 3KT MAX WIND...351/11KT 11KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1100FT...MOIST LAPSE TO 1900FT...GENERALLY NEUTRAL LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 101040Z AUTO 19003KT 25/23 A3000 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 100155Z 33004KT 10SM SCT036 27/25 A2998 METAR KIPN 101055Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 55/49 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 101055Z AUTO 22004KT 10SM FEW060 27/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 101055Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM SCT020 OVC060 28/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 101055Z AUTO 24009KT 10SM BKN050 BKN055 30/24 A2999 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW-SCT030. KHUM 101019Z 1010/1106 VRB02KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 1010/1013 5SM BR FM101600 26005KT P6SM SCT035 FM101900 24006KT P6SM SCT050CB FM110300 24003KT P6SM SCT100 KHSA 100520Z 1006/1106 VRB03KT P6SM SCT100 FM101600 29005KT P6SM SCT035 FM101900 27006KT P6SM SCT050CB FM110300 24004KT P6SM SCT100 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT W WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...NO SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.26 FT AT 0536 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.51 FT AT 0727 CDT. WYCM6 1.88 FT AT 0536 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.67 FT AT 1058 CDT BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.3F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 45 45 45 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 83 83 83 83 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............72 72 74 79 79 75 70 70 71 73 73 73 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 90 90 90 94 94 94 94 94 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 10 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 45 45 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 84 83 83 83 RH..............73 75 75 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 93 90 90 90 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 9 W 8 W 8 W 8 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1900 1600 1600 1500 1400 MIX HGT (M).....640 580 490 490 460 430 TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 13 W 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 4 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............83 83 81 85 85 85 RH..............77 77 82 72 72 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 89 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 2000 2000 2300 2200 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 610 610 700 670 TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 12 W 10 W 10 W 9 W 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 5 W 5 W 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100710.DEEPW.02/LIX