FNUS74 KLIX 101806 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 106 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1300 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS OVER THE NORTH GULF OF MEXICO WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM NORTHWEST GULF TO SOUTHERN FL. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO CENTRAL AL AND MS. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1200 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...103F HOUMA /HUM/...103F GULFPORT /GPT/...108F SLIDELL /ASD/...105F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 93F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WSW 8KT 250FT...W 8KT 500FT...W 8KT 1KFT...W 9KT 2KFT...W 9KT 3KFT...SW 1KT 4KFT...E 6KT 5KFT...NE 6KT MAX WIND...051/31KT 47.3KFT. STORM MOTION...002/2KT DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...INVERSION TO 5300FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 10/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 7/11/10 SFC...W 10KT 250FT...W 10KT 500FT...W 10KT 1KFT...W 10KT 2KFT...W 7KT 3KFT...W 3KT 4KFT...W 3KT 5KFT...W 3KT MAX WIND...351/11KT 11KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1100FT...MOIST LAPSE TO 1900FT...GENERALLY NEUTRAL LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 101800Z AUTO 23006KT CLR 32/25 A3004 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 101655Z 00000KT 10SM SCT031 SCT036 32/24 A3002 METAR KIPN 101755Z AUTO 25009KT 10SM CLR 54/46 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 101755Z AUTO 29005KT 10SM 29/24 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 101755Z AUTO 28008KT 10SM FEW023 30/24 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 101755Z AUTO VRB05G11KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A3004 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW-SCT030. KHUM 101736Z 1018/1118 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN250 FM102000 30005KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB BKN250 TEMPO 1020/1024 3SM TSRA BKN030CB FM110300 25005KT P6SM SCT250 FM111400 28006KT P6SM BKN250 KHSA 101736Z 1018/1118 24005KT P6SM SCT040CB SCT250 TEMPO 1020/1024 VRB15G30KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM110100 28003KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN250 FM110400 00000KT P6SM BKN250 FM111200 30005KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT W WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1300 CDT...ISOLD SHRA LOCATED ALONG AN E-W LINE ABOUT 65 NMI NORTH OF THE SPILL SITE. STORMS ARE MOVING EASTWARD AND SHOULD NOT IMPACT THE SPILL SITE. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED AT THIS TIME. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.63 FT AT 1236 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.02 FT AT 1900 CDT. WYCM6 2.51 FT AT 1236 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 2.73 FT AT 1058 CDT BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.1F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 85 85 RH..............70 71 73 73 73 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 13 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 45 45 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 84 83 83 83 RH..............73 75 75 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 93 90 90 90 20 FT WIND......W 7 W 8 W 8 W 8 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1900 1600 1600 1500 1400 MIX HGT (M).....640 580 490 490 460 430 TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 14 W 13 W 13 W 15 W 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............83 83 81 85 85 85 RH..............77 77 82 72 72 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 89 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 2000 2000 2300 2200 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 610 610 700 670 TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 14 W 10 W 10 W 9 W 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7 W 6 W 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100710.DEEPW.09/LIX