FNUS74 KLIX 102257 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 557 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1800 CDT...1016MB HIGH WAS OVER THE NORTH GULF OF MEXICO WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWEST GULF TO SOUTHERN FL. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG ATLANTIC COAST INTO CENTRAL AL AND MS. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1800 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 95F HOUMA /HUM/...105F GULFPORT /GPT/... 88F SLIDELL /ASD/... 91F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 96F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...W 10KT 250FT...W 10KT 500FT...W 10KT 1KFT...W 10KT 2KFT...W 10KT 3KFT...W 1KT 4KFT...E 4KT 5KFT...E 4KT MAX WIND...026/24KT 40.5KFT. STORM MOTION...355/3KT DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...INVERSION TO 3400FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 10/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 7/11/10 SFC...W 10KT 250FT...W 10KT 500FT...W 10KT 1KFT...W 10KT 2KFT...W 7KT 3KFT...W 3KT 4KFT...W 3KT 5KFT...W 3KT MAX WIND...351/11KT 11KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1100FT...MOIST LAPSE TO 1900FT...GENERALLY NEUTRAL LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 102240Z AUTO 21005KT VCTS CLR 30/25 A2997 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND NW METAR KHSA 102151Z 26005KT 10SM SCT065 SCT090 29/26 A2994 METAR KIPN 102235Z AUTO 25008KT 10SM CLR 55/47 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 102235Z AUTO 25007KT 10SM 29/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 102235Z AUTO VRB06G13KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 102235Z AUTO 24012KT 10SM CLR 31/23 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW-SCT030. KHUM 101736Z 1018/1118 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN250 FM102000 30005KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB BKN250 TEMPO 1020/1024 3SM TSRA BKN030CB FM110300 25005KT P6SM SCT250 FM111400 28006KT P6SM BKN250 KHSA 101814Z 1018/1118 24005KT P6SM SCT040CB SCT250 TEMPO 1019/1023 VRB15G30KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM102300 28003KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN250 FM110400 00000KT P6SM BKN250 FM111200 30005KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT W WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1800 CDT...NO SHRA/TSRA NEAR THE SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.41 FT AT 1730 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.02 FT AT 1900 CDT. WYCM6 0.99 FT AT 1730 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.24 FT AT 2115 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 84 84 84 84 83 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............73 73 75 75 75 75 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 93 93 93 93 90 90 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 14 14 13 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............83 83 81 85 85 85 RH..............77 77 82 72 72 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 89 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 2000 2000 2300 2200 MIX HGT (M).....430 520 610 610 700 670 TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 14 W 10 W 10 W 9 W 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7 W 6 W 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 84 83 83 83 RH..............75 77 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 93 90 90 90 20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 1900 1600 1600 1400 1300 MIX HGT (M).....670 580 490 490 430 400 TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 10 W 12 W 12 W 13 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 4 W 4 W 5 W 5 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ERICKSON REQUESTED BY...ROBERT RICKS TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100710.DEEPW.14/LIX