FNAK79 PAFG 120057
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
457 PM AKDT SUN JUL 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1642 AKDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE FOR SOME
STRONGER WIND IN THE WAKE OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT IS
EXITING INTO CANADA THIS EVENING. THE WIND WILL SLACKEN OFF A BIT
TOWARDS MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. RADAR IS INDICATING A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING QUICKLY TO THE SOUTHEAST...AND IT LOOKS LIKE
THE BEST CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS EVENING WILL
REMAIN EAST OF THE FIRE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. WINDS
                    DIMINISHING TO 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT BRIEF
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH STILL POSSIBLE.
CWR.................LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL LOWERING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 5500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...TOM ST  CLAIR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100711.WILLO.01/AFG