FNUS74 KLIX 111002 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 502 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0500 CDT...1017MB HIGH WAS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN FL. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG ATLANTIC COAST INTO SE LA. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1015MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0500 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...<90F HOUMA /HUM/...<90F GULFPORT /GPT/...<90F SLIDELL /ASD/...<90F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 91F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...W 11KT 250FT...W 11KT 500FT...W 11KT 1KFT...W 10KT 2KFT...NW 8KT 3KFT...NW 7KT 4KFT...N 8KT 5KFT...N 6KT MAX WIND...016/19KT 41.1KFT. STORM MOTION...332/6KT DRY LAPSE TO 400FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 1800FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 11/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 7/12/10 SFC...W 7KT 250FT...W 7KT 500FT...W 7KT 1KFT...W 7KT 2KFT...W 8KT 3KFT...W 10KT 4KFT...W 9KT 5KFT...SW 5KT MAX WIND...070/19KT 54.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 960FT...GENERALLY NEUTRAL LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 110940Z AUTO 24003KT CLR 27/24 A2997 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 110155Z 33003KT 10SM CLR 25/25 A2998 RMK LAST METAR KIPN 110955Z AUTO 28008KT 10SM CLR 59/53 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 110955Z AUTO 26009KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 110955Z AUTO VRB06G12KT 10SM FEW024 FEW065 29/24 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 110955Z AUTO 25009KT 10SM SCT025 BKN029 BKN040 29/24 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...SCATTERED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA SCT150. KHUM 110530Z 1106/1206 24004KT P6SM SCT250 FM111400 26006KT P6SM SCT030 FM111700 24007KT P6SM SCT035 PROB30 1119/1123 3SM -TSRA SCT030CB BKN045 FM120200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120 KHSA 110530Z 1106/1206 00000KT P6SM BKN250 FM111400 26005KT P6SM SCT030 FM111700 24008KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1119/1123 VRB30KT P6SM SCT028CB BKN035 FM120200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT W WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 0500 CDT...NO SHRA/TSRA NEAR THE SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.92 FT AT 0436 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.36 FT AT 0800 CDT. WYCM6 1.35 FT AT 0436 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.67 FT AT NOON CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 45 45 45 50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TEMP............83 83 83 83 83 83 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............74 74 74 67 72 72 67 63 63 65 67 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 90 88 88 88 90 90 90 91 92 93 93 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 84 83 83 83 RH..............70 74 74 77 77 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 92 92 90 90 91 20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 W 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2200 1800 1800 1800 2100 MIX HGT (M).....760 670 550 550 550 640 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 W 12 W 12 W 12 SW 15 SW 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 W 5 W 5 W 5 SW 7 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 83 87 87 87 RH..............80 80 80 68 68 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 91 91 96 96 98 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2700 2900 2900 3100 2700 MIX HGT (M).....640 820 880 880 940 820 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 W 15 W 15 W 15 W 8 W 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100711.DEEPW.01/LIX