FNUS74 KLIX 111703 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1203 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1200 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN FL. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1200 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...103F HOUMA /HUM/...100F GULFPORT /GPT/...107F SLIDELL /ASD/... 99F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 98F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...W 10KT 250FT...W 11KT 500FT...W 11KT 1KFT...W 11KT 2KFT...W 9KT 3KFT...SW 6KT 4KFT...S 6KT 5KFT...SE 4KT MAX WIND...029/19KT 35.3KFT. STORM MOTION...266/7KT DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 5200FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 11/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 7/12/10 SFC...W 7KT 250FT...W 7KT 500FT...W 7KT 1KFT...W 7KT 2KFT...W 8KT 3KFT...W 10KT 4KFT...W 9KT 5KFT...SW 5KT MAX WIND...070/19KT 54.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 960FT...GENERALLY NEUTRAL LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 111640Z AUTO 24005KT SCT025 SCT031 32/25 A3002 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 111655Z 00000KT 10SM SCT030 32/23 A2999 METAR KIPN 111655Z AUTO 26006KT 10SM CLR 54/44 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 111655Z AUTO 26010KT 10SM 29/23 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 111655Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM BKN027 BKN032 31/23 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 111655Z AUTO 24009KT 10SM SCT025 31/24 A3003 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...SCATTERED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA SCT150. KHUM 111120Z 1112/1212 22005KT P6SM OVC120 FM111400 26006KT P6SM SCT030 FM111700 24007KT P6SM SCT035 FM120200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120 KHSA 111120Z 1112/1212 00000KT P6SM BKN250 FM111400 26005KT P6SM SCT030 FM111700 24008KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1119/1123 VRB30KT P6SM SCT028CB BKN035 FM120200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT W WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1200 CDT...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA LOCATED ALONG AN E-W LINE ABOUT ABOUT 50 NMI N OF SPILL SITE. STORMS MOVING EASTWARD AND SHOULD NOT AFFECT SPILL SITE. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED AT THIS TIME. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.06 FT AT 1136 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.08 FT AT 2015 CDT. WYCM6 2.49 FT AT 1136 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.67 FT AT NOON CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............85 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............63 63 65 67 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 91 92 93 93 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 84 83 83 83 RH..............70 74 74 77 77 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 92 92 90 90 91 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2200 1800 1800 1800 2100 MIX HGT (M).....760 670 550 550 550 640 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 W 12 W 12 W 12 SW 15 SW 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 W 5 W 5 W 5 SW 7 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 83 87 87 87 RH..............80 80 80 68 68 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 91 91 96 96 98 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 7 W 6 W 7 W 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2700 2900 2900 3100 2700 MIX HGT (M).....640 820 880 880 940 820 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 W 15 W 15 W 15 W 8 W 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100711.DEEPW.08/LIX