FNUS74 KLIX 112003 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 303 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1500 CDT...1018MB HIGH WAS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN FL. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1500 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...103F HOUMA /HUM/...105F GULFPORT /GPT/...102F SLIDELL /ASD/... 96F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 96F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 20Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WNW 6KT 250FT...WNW 6KT 500FT...WNW 7KT 1KFT...W 6KT 2KFT...WSW 8KT 3KFT...WSW 9KT 4KFT...SW 8KT 5KFT...W 6KT MAX WIND...014/23KT 36.3KFT. STORM MOTION...271/8KT DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...INVERSION TO 4600FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 11/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 7/12/10 SFC...W 7KT 250FT...W 7KT 500FT...W 7KT 1KFT...W 7KT 2KFT...W 8KT 3KFT...W 10KT 4KFT...W 9KT 5KFT...SW 5KT MAX WIND...070/19KT 54.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 960FT...GENERALLY NEUTRAL LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 111940Z AUTO 20011G19KT CLR 32/25 A2997 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND NE PWINO METAR KHSA 111950Z 23010KT 10SM SCT090 31/23 A2996 METAR KIPN 111955Z AUTO 25007KT 10SM CLR 55/47 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 111955Z AUTO 25010KT 10SM 29/23 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 111955Z AUTO 26007KT 210V300 10SM 30/23 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 111955Z AUTO 22011KT 10SM CLR 31/23 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...SCATTERED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA SCT150. KHUM 111732Z 1118/1218 24005KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1118/1122 VRB30KT P6SM SCT028CB BKN035 FM120200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120 FM121500 24004KT P6SM SCT025 KHSA 111732Z 1118/1218 00000KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 TEMPO 1118/1122 VRB30KT P6SM SCT028CB BKN035 FM120200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120 FM121400 VRB03KT P6SM SCT025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT W WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1500 CDT...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA LOCATED ALONG AN E-W LINE ABOUT ABOUT 45 NMI N OF SPILL SITE CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND SHOULD NOT AFFECT SPILL SITE. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING DETECTED WITH THESE STORMS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.18 FT AT 1436 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.08 FT AT 2015 CDT. WYCM6 2.18 FT AT 1436 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.03 FT AT 2300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.8F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............85 85 85 RH..............67 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 93 93 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 83 83 83 83 RH..............70 74 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 92 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2100 2200 2200 2200 2200 MIX HGT (M).....760 640 670 670 670 670 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 W 12 W 12 W 12 SW 13 W 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 W 5 W 5 W 5 SW 6 W 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 84 85 85 86 RH..............74 74 72 70 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 91 93 93 94 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 7 W 6 W 7 W 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2200 2700 2700 3200 3200 MIX HGT (M).....670 670 820 820 980 980 TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 16 W 14 W 14 W 10 W 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7 W 7 W 6 W 6 W 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100711.DEEPW.11/LIX