FNUS74 KLIX 112303 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 603 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1800 CDT...1016MB HIGH WAS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN FL. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1014MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1700 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 96F HOUMA /HUM/... 97F GULFPORT /GPT/...105F SLIDELL /ASD/... 98F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 97F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...W 8KT 250FT...W 8KT 500FT...W 8KT 1KFT...WSW 8KT 2KFT...SW 9KT 3KFT...SW 9KT 4KFT...SW 8KT 5KFT...SW 7KT MAX WIND...024/28KT 40.0KFT. STORM MOTION...297/5KT DRY LAPSE TO 3000FT...INVERSION TO 5000FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 11/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 7/12/10 SFC...W 7KT 250FT...W 7KT 500FT...W 7KT 1KFT...W 7KT 2KFT...W 8KT 3KFT...W 10KT 4KFT...W 9KT 5KFT...SW 5KT MAX WIND...070/19KT 54.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 960FT...GENERALLY NEUTRAL LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 112240Z AUTO 21009KT CLR 31/23 A2993 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N PWINO METAR KHSA 112251Z 21007KT 10SM SCT090 29/26 A2989 METAR KIPN 112255Z AUTO 25011KT 10SM SCT024 SCT030 53/46 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 112255Z AUTO 25011KT 10SM 29/23 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 112255Z AUTO 26008G16KT 230V300 10SM 30/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 112255Z AUTO 25012KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2992 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...SCATTERED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA SCT150. KHUM 111732Z 1118/1218 24005KT P6SM SCT030 TEMPO 1118/1122 VRB30KT P6SM SCT028CB BKN035 FM120200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120 FM121500 24004KT P6SM SCT025 KHSA 111732Z 1118/1218 00000KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 TEMPO 1118/1122 VRB30KT P6SM SCT028CB BKN035 FM120200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT120 FM121400 VRB03KT P6SM SCT025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT W WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1800 CDT...NO ACTIVITY NEAR THE SOURCE AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.41 FT AT 1736 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.08 FT AT 2015 CDT. WYCM6 1.64 FT AT 1736 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.03 FT AT 2300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............85 84 84 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............74 74 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 92 92 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W SW SW SW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 15 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 84 85 85 86 RH..............74 74 72 70 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 91 93 93 94 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 7 W 6 W 7 W 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2200 2700 2700 3200 3200 MIX HGT (M).....670 670 820 820 980 980 TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 16 W 14 W 14 W 10 W 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7 W 7 W 6 W 6 W 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC CH .MONDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 85 84 84 84 83 RH..............70 70 74 77 77 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 93 92 93 93 91 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 2600 2300 2300 2000 2000 MIX HGT (M).....980 790 700 700 610 610 TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 SW 16 SW 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 4 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH LC LC CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ERICKSON REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100711.DEEPW.14/LIX