FNUS72 KMFL 112230
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
630 PM EDT SUN JUL 11 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-7...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
627 PM EDT SUN JUL 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1825 EDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES CURRENTLY WILL GIVE WAY TO SOME CLOUDS AS THEY
MOVE SOUTH FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA. A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES SOUTH
ALTHOUGH MOST OF THIS IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DIMINISH BEFORE
REACHING THE FIRE SITE. EVEN THROUGH LVORI NUMBERS ARE HIGH,
WIDESPREAD FOG SHOULD NOT BE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY, THE LOWER
LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE COULD GET SATURATED RESULTING IN
LOCALIZED PATCHES OF FOG/SMOKE MIXED. SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE
TO NEAR CALM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
MONDAY BUT INCREASE IN SPEED AND BECOME WEST AS THE WEST COAST SEA
BREEZE MOVES INLAND.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............8.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........40     40     40     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     82     79     78     77     76
RH..............67     83     91     93     97     96
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 4    W 4    W 2    SW 1   W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 5    W 4    W 4    W 2    SW 1   W 1
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   3100   3100   1600   200    200
MIXNG WIND......W 9    W 9    W 9    W 7    W 5    W 5
DISPERSION IDX..35     4      4      3      2      2
LVORI...........3      4      6      6      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 15 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 44 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 33.
LVORI...............5.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...LT. SAPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...LT. SAPP
REASON FOR REQUEST...ESSENTIAL TO PUBLIC SAFETY, E.G. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF
POPULATION CENTERS OR CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.