FNAK79 PAFG 131451
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAT CREEK 501...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
651 AM AKDT TUE JUL 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1921 AKDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH JUST SOUTHEAST WILL MOVE NORTH TO NEAR
THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON THEN RETREAT BACK SOUTHEAST WED. A SURFACE
COLD FRONT NORTHWEST OF THE FIRE WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE BY 4AM THU...
AND THEN MOVE EAST OF THE FIRE THU PM. EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS WITH THIS FRONT. COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 9 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 17 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...TIM EEP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100712.PATCR.01/AFG