FNUS75 KGJT 121459
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOW CREEK...GRAND JUNCTION AIR CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
859 AM MDT MON JUL 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TODAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. IN ADDITION...WARMING
ALOFT WILL CREATE A CAP WHICH WILL TEND SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER AN ISOLATED STORM MAY BE POSSIBLE BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SHIFTS A LITTLE TO THE
EAST ON TUESDAY. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO ROTATE INTO THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTHWEST...HOWEVER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED.

*FORECAST VALUES FOR 9000 FT ELEVATION*

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). A PERIOD OF CLEAR SKIES
                    LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON. VIRGA WITH AN
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE IN THE LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST. INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ERRATIC GUSTS FROM ANY VIRGA OR THUNDERSTORMS
                    THAT DEVELOP.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLEAR (0-10%) BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). VIRGA WITH AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST. INCREASING TO 8-15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ERRATIC GUSTS FROM ANY VIRGA OR THUNDERSTORMS
                    THAT DEVELOP.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BOB CASKEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100712.MEADO.01/GJT