FNUS74 KLIX 122206 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 506 PM CDT MON JUL 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1700 CDT...1016MB HIGH DOMINATES THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ACROSS THE FL PEN. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1015MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1600 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...105F HOUMA /HUM/...105F GULFPORT /GPT/...106F SLIDELL /ASD/...101F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 9KT 250FT...SW 9KT 500FT...SW 9KT 1KFT...SW 9KT 2KFT...SW 12KT 3KFT...SW 14KT 4KFT...W 16KT 5KFT...W 17KT MAX WIND...054/17KT 48.2KFT. STORM MOTION...306/3KT DRY LAPSE TO 5000FT...INVERSION TO 7500FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 12/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SOURCE LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 7/13/10 SFC...SW 7KT 250FT...SW 8KT 500FT...SW 9KT 1KFT...SW 9KT 2KFT...W 8KT 3KFT...W 7KT 4KFT...W 7KT 5KFT...W 7KT MAX WIND...081/21KT 51.2KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1500FT...NEUTRAL TO 6900FT...INVERSION TO 8900FT...NEUTRAL ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 122140Z AUTO 21012KT SCT028 SCT034 32/26 A2991 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 122151Z 25006KT 10SM SCT055 32/22 A2987 METAR KIPN 122155Z AUTO 24010KT CLR 55/49 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 122155Z AUTO 25012KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 122155Z AUTO 24012KT 10SM 30/24 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 122150Z AUTO 23012G18KT 10SM SCT025 SCT031 31/25 A2991 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...SCATTERED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA SCT150. KHUM 121732Z 1218/1318 24007KT P6SM SCT025 SCT050 FM130200 20003KT P6SM SKC FM131500 21007KT P6SM FEW040 KHSA 121732Z 1218/1318 24008KT P6SM SCT040 FM130200 22003KT P6SM SKC FM131500 23006KT P6SM SKC= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1700 CDT...NO PRECIPITATION OR LIGHTNING WITHIN 50NM OF SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.98 FT AT 1636 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.14 FT AT 2010 CDT. WYCM6 1.67 FT AT 1636 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.44 FT AT 2300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........31 31 27 24 17 14 14 13 14 18 20 27 42 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............88 88 86 85 84 84 83 83 82 82 82 82 82 RH..............66 70 72 74 74 77 77 80 80 80 81 81 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 99 96 94 93 93 91 91 89 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 CEILINGS........10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH LC LC CH CH CH CH CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........42 45 31 45 53 62 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............82 82 86 88 89 88 RH..............81 81 73 68 66 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 96 99 100 99 20 FT WIND......SW 9 W 8 W 7 SW 7 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2500 3100 3100 3800 4100 MIX HGT (M).....760 760 940 940 1160 1250 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 W 14 W 10 W 10 W 10 SW 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7 W 6 W 4 W 4 W 4 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 0 0 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........43 34 29 29 29 29 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............87 85 83 82 81 80 RH..............69 75 81 82 83 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 94 92 89 87 86 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 2900 2400 2400 2400 2500 MIX HGT (M).....1250 880 730 730 730 760 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 12 SW 12 SW 12 SW 9 W 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ERICKSON REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100712.DEEPW.13/LIX