FNUS74 KLIX 122359 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 659 PM CDT MON JUL 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1900 CDT...1015MB HIGH DOMINATES THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ACROSS THE FL PEN. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1013MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1900 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...100F HOUMA /HUM/... 98F GULFPORT /GPT/...103F SLIDELL /ASD/...102F WEST DELTA /DLP/...103F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 10KT 250FT...SW 10KT 500FT...SW 11KT 1KFT...SW 12KT 2KFT...SW 12KT 3KFT...SW 14KT 4KFT...W 16KT 5KFT...W 17KT MAX WIND...056/20KT 51.2KFT. STORM MOTION...306/5KT DRY LAPSE TO 5000FT...INVERSION TO 7500FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 12/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SOURCE LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 7/13/10 SFC...SW 7KT 250FT...SW 8KT 500FT...SW 9KT 1KFT...SW 9KT 2KFT...W 8KT 3KFT...W 7KT 4KFT...W 7KT 5KFT...W 7KT MAX WIND...081/21KT 51.2KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1500FT...NEUTRAL TO 6900FT...INVERSION TO 8900FT...NEUTRAL ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 122340Z AUTO 20015G18KT SCT025 SCT036 SCT050 31/25 A2988 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 122351Z 00000KT 10SM SCT055 31/25 A2985 METAR KIPN 122335Z AUTO 25009KT 10SM CLR 56/50 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 122335Z AUTO 24009G14KT 10SM 30/25 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 122335Z AUTO 25009G15KT 10SM 30/25 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 122330Z AUTO 24016KT 10SM SCT024 SCT030 32/25 A2989 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...SCATTERED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA SCT150. KHUM 122321Z 1300/1324 24007KT P6SM SCT025 SCT050 FM130200 20003KT P6SM SKC FM131500 23007KT P6SM FEW040 KHSA 122321Z 1300/1324 25004KT P6SM SCT050 FM130200 22004KT P6SM SKC FM131500 25007KT P6SM SCT035= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1900 CDT...NO PRECIPITATION OR LIGHTNING WITHIN 50NM OF SOURCE AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.50 FT AT 1836 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.14 FT AT 2010 CDT. WYCM6 1.02 FT AT 1836 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE -0.44 FT AT 2300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........31 27 24 17 14 14 13 14 18 20 27 42 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............88 86 85 84 84 83 83 82 82 82 82 82 RH..............70 72 74 74 77 77 80 80 80 81 81 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 96 94 93 93 91 91 89 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 CEILINGS........10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH LC LC CH CH CH CH CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........42 45 31 45 53 62 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............82 82 86 88 89 88 RH..............81 81 73 68 66 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 96 99 100 99 20 FT WIND......SW 9 W 8 W 7 SW 7 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2500 3100 3100 3800 4100 MIX HGT (M).....760 760 940 940 1160 1250 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 W 14 W 10 W 10 W 10 SW 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7 W 6 W 4 W 4 W 4 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 0 0 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........43 34 29 29 29 29 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............87 85 83 82 81 80 RH..............69 75 81 82 83 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 94 92 89 87 86 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 2900 2400 2400 2400 2500 MIX HGT (M).....1250 880 730 730 730 760 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 12 SW 12 SW 12 SW 9 W 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 W 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ERICKSON REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100712.DEEPW.15/LIX