FNUS72 KILM 131811
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDWICK FIRE...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
211 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1358 EDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETREAT FARTHER OFFSHORE AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE COASTAL CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY AND LINGER AS IT WEAKENS
THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE BACK IN
FROM THE EAST ON FRIDAY. WARM AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER FRONT SHOULD MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE CAROLINAS
BY SUNDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............50     52     64     73     88     95
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE DEFNTE WIDSPD
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................89     85     82     79     77     76
                    MIN HUMIDITY........68     77     85     90     93     96
WIND (20 FT)........S 7    S 6    S 6    S 5    SW 3   S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10     10     5      5
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....S 5    S 5    S 5    S 4    SW 2   S 2
EYE LVL WND GST.....15     15     10     10     5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200-4600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............95     87     74     69     68     66
WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE S CHC                LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................75     75     81     90     92     91
                    MIN HUMIDITY........100    100    85     63     60     61
WIND (20 FT)........S 2    SW 2   SW 2   S 3    S 4    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5             5      5      5      10
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....S 2    SW 1   SW 2   S 2    S 3    S 4
EYE LVL WND GST.....5             5      5      5      10

$$
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN CALORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100713.HARDW.01/ILM