FNUS74 KLIX 131009 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 509 AM CDT TUE JUL 13 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0500 CDT...1016MB HIGH DOMINATES THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ACROSS THE FL PEN. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1015MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0500 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 87F HOUMA /HUM/... 86F GULFPORT /GPT/... 91F SLIDELL /ASD/... 87F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 8KT 250FT...SW 8KT 500FT...SW 9KT 1KFT...SW 10KT 2KFT...SW 10KT 3KFT...SW 12KT 4KFT...W 14KT 5KFT...W 16KT MAX WIND...050/17KT 48.2KFT. STORM MOTION...306/5KT DRY LAPSE TO 5000FT...INVERSION TO 7500FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 13/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SOURCE LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 7/14/10 SFC...W 7KT 250FT...W 8KT 500FT...W 9KT 1KFT...NW 9KT 2KFT...N 9KT 3KFT...N 7KT 4KFT...NE 6KT 5KFT...NE 7KT MAX WIND...056/21KT 55.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1200FT...INVERSION TO 1900FT...NEUTRAL ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 130940Z AUTO 19005KT 27/25 A2994 RMK AO2 SKY OBSCURED PWINO METAR KIPN 130955Z AUTO 24010KT 10SM A2996 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 130955Z AUTO 21011KT 9SM FEW022 29/24 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 130955Z AUTO 23012KT 10SM FEW019 29/25 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 130950Z AUTO 23010G17KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A2994 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 ISOLATED TSRA. AFTER 18Z...VFR SCT030. KHUM 130520Z 1306/1406 20004KT P6SM SKC FM131500 24008KT P6SM FEW040 KHSA 130520Z 1306/1406 21003KT P6SM SKC FM131500 25007KT P6SM SCT035 FM131800 23008KT P6SM SCT050 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 0500 CDT...ISOLATED SHOWERS 15NM NW OF SPILL AND 45NM W OF SPILL. NO LIGHTNING OBSERVED WITHIN 50NM OF SOURCE AREA LAST 30 MINUTES. LIGHTNING MAY DEVELOP WITH THE SHOWERS 45NM W OF SPILL. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.30 FT AT 0436 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.60 FT AT 1056 CDT. WYCM6 0.68 FT AT 0436 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.29 FT AT 1315 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........42 42 26 27 28 30 32 33 34 34 33 32 31 WEATHER COV.....NONE.............................................. WEATHER TYPE....NONE.............................................. TEMP............84 84 84 84 84 85 87 88 89 89 89 88 88 RH..............76 76 77 77 77 77 72 70 68 68 68 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 93 93 93 93 96 99 100 102 102 102 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 5 6 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.0 2.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 17 17 17 14 14 14 10 10 10 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 8 8 8 6 6 6 4 4 4 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S20.............S30............................... SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 86 84 83 81 80 RH..............68 72 77 82 88 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 96 93 92 88 87 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 W 8 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1900 1800 1800 1800 2300 MIX HGT (M).....610 580 550 550 550 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 SW 14 SW 16 SW 16 W 16 W 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 W 7 W 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 83 87 89 90 89 RH..............91 82 74 70 68 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 92 100 103 105 102 20 FT WIND......W 7 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2400 2100 2100 1900 1600 MIX HGT (M).....700 730 640 640 580 490 TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 NW 15 NW 13 NW 13 NW 9 NW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 4 NW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...WAGNER REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100713.DEEPW.01/LIX