FNUS74 KLIX 131506 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1006 AM CDT TUE JUL 13 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1000 CDT...1018MB HIGH DOMINATES THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ACROSS THE FL PEN. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1000 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...100F HOUMA /HUM/...104F GULFPORT /GPT/...100F SLIDELL /ASD/... 97F WEST DELTA /DLP/...103F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 10KT 250FT...SW 10KT 500FT...SW 10KT 1KFT...SW 11KT 2KFT...SW 12KT 3KFT...SW 10KT 4KFT...SW 7KT 5KFT...W 9KT MAX WIND...106/19KT 30.4KFT. STORM MOTION...309/3KT DRY LAPSE TO 2800FT...INVERSION TO 7300FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 13/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/14/10 SFC...NW 7KT 250FT...NW 8KT 500FT...NW 8KT 1KFT...NW 11KT 2KFT...NW 15KT 3KFT...NW 15KT 4KFT...NW 14KT 5KFT...NW 11KT MAX WIND...067/23KT 55.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 131440Z AUTO 21011G15KT 31/25 A3000 RMK AO2 SKY OBSCURED PWINO METAR KHSA 131455Z 26006KT 10SM SCT027 BKN040 29/24 A2999 METAR KIPN 131455Z AUTO 23008KT 10SM CLR A3002 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 131455Z AUTO 23005KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 131455Z AUTO 22009KT 10SM FEW021 30/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 131450Z AUTO 23011G20KT 9SM CLR 32/25 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 ISOLATED TSRA. AFTER 18Z...VFR SCT030. KHUM 131120Z 1312/1412 20004KT P6SM SCT040 SCT200 FM131900 24009KT P6SM SCT040 SCT200 FM140200 22004KT P6SM SCT200 FM141100 VRB03KT 5SM BR SCT200 KHSA 131120Z 1312/1412 21003KT P6SM SCT030 SCT200 FM131500 25007KT P6SM SCT035 SCT200 FM131800 23008KT P6SM SCT050 SCT200 FM140200 VRB02KT P6SM SCT200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...ISOLATED SHOWERS 17NM NW TO 40NM NE OF SOURCE. NO LIGHTNING OBSERVED WITHIN 50NM OF SOURCE AREA LAST 30 MINUTES. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.84 FT AT 0936 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 1.91 FT AT 1056 CDT. WYCM6 1.44 FT AT 0936 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.20 FT AT 1315 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........30 32 33 34 34 33 32 31 WEATHER COV.....NONE........................... WEATHER TYPE....NONE........................... TEMP............85 87 88 89 89 89 88 88 RH..............77 72 70 68 68 68 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 99 100 102 102 102 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.0 2.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 10 10 10 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 4 4 4 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S30............................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 86 84 83 81 80 RH..............68 72 77 82 88 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 96 93 92 88 87 20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 W 8 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1900 1800 1800 1800 2300 MIX HGT (M).....610 580 550 550 550 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 SW 14 SW 16 SW 16 W 16 W 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 W 7 W 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 83 87 89 90 89 RH..............91 82 74 70 68 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 92 100 103 105 102 20 FT WIND......W 7 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2400 2100 2100 1900 1600 MIX HGT (M).....700 730 640 640 580 490 TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 NW 15 NW 13 NW 13 NW 9 NW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 4 NW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...WAGNER REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100713.DEEPW.06/LIX