FNUS74 KLIX 131811 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 111 PM CDT TUE JUL 13 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1300 CDT...1018MB HIGH CENTERED OVER FLORIDA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1300 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...102F HOUMA /HUM/...101F GULFPORT /GPT/...105F SLIDELL /ASD/... 98F WEST DELTA /DLP/...105F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 10KT 250FT...SW 11KT 500FT...SW 12KT 1KFT...SW 12KT 2KFT...SW 11KT 3KFT...SW 11KT 4KFT...SW 11KT 5KFT...W 10KT MAX WIND...049/31KT 55.0KFT. STORM MOTION...285/2KT DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...INVERSION TO 6900FT...PSUEDO LAPSE ABOVE. 13/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/14/10 SFC...NW 7KT 250FT...NW 8KT 500FT...NW 8KT 1KFT...NW 11KT 2KFT...NW 15KT 3KFT...NW 15KT 4KFT...NW 14KT 5KFT...NW 11KT MAX WIND...067/23KT 55.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 131800Z AUTO 23006KT 192V252 32/25 A3001 RMK AO2 SKY OBSCURED PWINO METAR KHSA 131756Z 26007KT 10SM SCT042 SCT050 32/23 A2999 METAR KIPN 131755Z AUTO 24007KT 10SM CLR A3003 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 131755Z AUTO 22006KT 9SM 29/25 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 131755Z AUTO 23007G12KT 9SM 31/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 131750Z AUTO 25010KT 9SM FEW022 FEW027 31/25 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. AFTER 18Z...ISOLATED 3SM TSRA BKN150. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 ISOLATED TSRA. AFTER 18Z...VFR SCT030. KHUM 131733Z 1318/1418 22004KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1408/1412 5SM BR SCT015 KHSA 131733Z 1318/1418 25008KT P6SM SCT040 SCT200 FM140200 VRB02KT P6SM SCT250 FM141400 25006KT P6SM SCT025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. .RADAR... AT 1300 CDT...AN ISOLATED SHOWER HAS DEVELOPED...AND IS CENTERED ABOUT 4NM NE OF THE SOURCE AREA. MOVEMENT OF THIS SHOWER SHOULD BE TO THE EAST. NO LIGHTNING HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE LAST HOUR. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.76 FT AT 1236 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.10 FT AT 2048 CDT. WYCM6 1.89 FT AT 1230 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.20 FT AT 1315 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........34 34 33 32 31 WEATHER COV.....NONE............... WEATHER TYPE....NONE............... TEMP............89 89 89 88 88 RH..............68 68 68 70 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..102 102 102 100 99 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.6 2.0 2.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S30................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 87 85 85 83 81 RH..............68 72 77 76 81 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 99 96 96 92 87 20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 W 8 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1900 1800 1800 1800 2300 MIX HGT (M).....610 580 550 550 550 700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 SW 14 SW 16 SW 16 W 16 W 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 W 7 W 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 82 85 89 90 89 RH..............91 86 79 69 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 91 97 103 103 100 20 FT WIND......W 7 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2400 2100 2100 1900 1600 MIX HGT (M).....700 730 640 640 580 490 TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 NW 15 NW 13 NW 13 NW 9 NW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 4 NW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM SM .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...WAGNER REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100713.DEEPW.09/LIX