FNAK79 PAFG 151416
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
616 AM AKDT THU JUL 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1914 AKDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WEST OF THE FIRE WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE BY 10 AM THIS MORNING
AND MOVE EAST OF THE FIRE BY AFTERNOON. RAIN AND FOG WILL DIMINISH
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER THE FRONT MOVES EAST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
EXPECT WEST WINDS 10-15 KT WITH THE FRONT AS WELL. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
COOLER AND WETTER THAN NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDS DECREASING IN THE AFTERNOON (55 PERCENT).
                    RAIN DIMINISHING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS BY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 MPH. GUSTS 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 MPH. GUSTS 15 MPH IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.MONDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100714.501PA.01/AFG