FNUS75 KBOU 142352 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST LAKE SAR...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 539 PM MDT WED JUL 14 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. AN ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWER OR POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE UNTIL AROUND 2100 THEN THE AIRMASS SHOULD GRADUALLY STABILIZE. THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE BRIEF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL...UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN 30 MINUTES...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46. MAX HUMIDITY........51-56%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 9-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. RIDGETOP WINDS......WEST-SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. RIDGETOP WINDS......WEST 20-25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. RIDGETOP WINDS......WEST 15-25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........26-30%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13-23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. RIDGETOP WINDS......WEST AROUND 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOST LAKE SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/14-17 71 28 61 36 W 14 4 8582 W 21 156717 E 07/14-18 72 20 60 37 W 12 17 4 3 W35 8430 W 20 142022 V 07/14-19 72 20 59 38 W 9 3 5732 W 15 95290 G 07/14-20 72 20 57 41 W 7 3 3035 W 10 48559 F 07/14-21 72 20 54 44 W 6 6 4 3 W35 337 W 6 1827 P 07/14-22 72 20 52 47 W 5 3 297 W 6 1420 P 07/14-23 72 20 51 48 SW 3 3 257 SW 5 1014 P 07/15-00 27 20 49 51 SW 3 3 3 3 W43 217 SW 3 607 P 07/15-01 27 20 49 51 SW 5 3 204 SW 5 822 P 07/15-02 27 20 48 53 W 7 3 192 SW 7 1037 P 07/15-03 27 0 47 54 W 9 14 3 1 W38 179 W 8 1252 P 07/15-04 27 0 46 55 W 12 1 171 W 9 1391 P 07/15-05 19 0 45 56 W 13 1 162 W 12 1530 P 07/15-06 19 0 45 56 W 14 21 3 1 W37 154 W 13 1669 P 07/15-07 19 0 46 53 W 14 1 294 W 13 3115 P 07/15-08 19 0 49 48 W 13 1 433 W 13 4561 P 07/15-09 19 0 52 43 W 12 17 5 1 W33 573 W 12 6007 P 07/15-10 19 0 55 39 W 12 1 2073 W 15 33922 P 07/15-11 19 0 58 35 W 12 1 3573 W 17 61836 G 07/15-12 46 19 60 32 W 12 17 5 3 W32 5073 W 21 93520 G 07/15-13 46 19 62 31 W 12 3 6155 W 21 111468 V 07/15-14 53 17 63 30 W 10 3 7237 W 21 129417 V 07/15-15 53 17 64 30 W 10 16 3 3 W33 8319 W 21 147365 V 07/15-16 57 17 63 31 W 10 3 8314 W 20 143644 V 07/15-17 57 17 63 31 W 12 3 8310 W 20 139923 V 07/15-18 33 10 62 32 W 12 17 3 2 W33 8305 W 18 136202 V 07/15-19 33 10 58 37 W 12 2 5615 W 16 90158 G 07/15-20 33 10 55 38 W 13 2 2925 W 14 46248 F 07/15-21 33 10 52 41 W 13 20 5 2 W32 235 W 12 2338 P 07/15-22 33 0 51 42 W 12 1 212 W 10 2014 P 07/15-23 33 0 50 43 W 12 1 189 W 10 1691 P 07/16-00 18 0 49 44 W 10 16 5 1 NW31 166 W 9 1367 P 07/16-01 18 0 48 45 W 10 1 168 W 10 1435 P 07/16-02 18 0 47 46 W 10 1 170 W 10 1502 P 07/16-03 18 0 46 47 W 12 17 5 1 W32 172 W 10 1570 P 07/16-04 18 0 45 48 W 14 1 173 W 13 1880 P 07/16-05 18 0 45 48 W 16 1 174 W 15 2191 P 07/16-06 2 0 45 48 W 18 28 5 1 NW31 176 W 16 2501 P 07/16-07 2 0 46 45 W 20 1 429 W 16 5974 P 07/16-08 2 0 51 38 W 21 1 683 W 16 9447 P 07/16-09 2 0 55 33 W 21 31 5 1 NW24 936 W 16 12920 P 07/16-10 2 0 58 29 W 18 1 3073 W 15 35044 P 07/16-11 2 0 60 27 W 15 1 5210 W 14 57167 F 07/16-12 66 5 62 26 W 13 20 4 1 NW22 7346 W 13 79291 G 07/16-13 66 5 63 26 W 12 1 7906 W 12 82622 G 07/16-14 66 5 64 26 NW 12 1 8466 W 12 85952 G 07/16-15 66 5 64 26 NW 12 17 3 1 W22 9026 W 12 89283 G 07/16-16 66 5 64 27 NW 13 1 8922 W 12 85008 G 07/16-17 66 5 64 29 NW 14 1 8819 W 10 80732 G 07/16-18 56 10 63 31 NW 14 21 4 2 W24 8716 W 10 76457 G 07/16-19 56 10 61 32 NW 13 2 5898 W 9 51616 F 07/16-20 56 10 58 34 NW 10 2 3080 NW 9 26775 P 07/16-21 56 10 55 37 NW 9 14 5 2 W24 262 NW 8 1935 P 07/16-22 56 0 53 38 W 8 1 245 W 8 1701 P 07/16-23 56 0 52 39 W 8 1 227 W 7 1468 P 07/17-00 4 0 51 40 W 8 8 5 1 W23 209 W 7 1235 P 07/17-01 4 0 50 41 W 8 1 207 W 7 1234 P 07/17-02 4 0 49 42 W 7 1 205 W 7 1232 P 07/17-03 4 0 47 44 W 7 7 6 1 W24 203 W 7 1231 P 07/17-04 4 0 47 44 W 8 1 195 W 7 1251 P 07/17-05 4 0 47 43 W 9 1 186 W 8 1270 P 07/17-06 4 0 47 43 W 9 14 5 1 W24 178 W 8 1290 P 07/17-07 4 0 48 42 W 8 1 2371 W 10 25845 P 07/17-08 4 0 51 40 W 7 1 4564 NW 12 50401 F 07/17-09 4 0 54 38 W 6 6 4 1 NW22 6757 NW 13 74957 G 07/17-10 4 0 56 35 W 5 1 8107 NW 13 85151 G 07/17-11 4 0 58 33 W 3 1 9458 NW 12 95345 G 07/17-12 59 0 59 33 W 3 3 4 1 NW21 10808 W 12 105539 V 07/17-13 59 0 60 33 W 3 1 10105 W 13 113148 V 07/17-14 59 0 60 34 W 5 1 9402 W 15 120757 V 07/17-15 59 10 60 35 W 5 5 4 2 W36 8699 W 17 128366 V 07/17-16 59 10 61 35 W 5 2 8822 W 18 140448 V 07/17-17 59 10 60 37 W 6 2 8944 W 20 152531 E 07/17-18 62 10 59 38 W 6 6 4 2 NW32 9067 W 21 164613 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MIKE HARDIN REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20100714.LOSTL.01/BOU