FNUS74 KLIX 141505 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1005 AM CDT WED JUL 14 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1000 CDT...1020MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WITH A WITH RIDGE AXIS THROUGH SOUTHERN FLORIDA. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1020MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1000 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 97F HOUMA /HUM/... 96F GULFPORT /GPT/...101F SLIDELL /ASD/... 92F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NW 5KT 250FT...NW 6KT 500FT...NW 7KT 1KFT...NW 9KT 2KFT...NW 9KT 3KFT...N 5KT 4KFT...NE 5KT 5KFT...NE 4KT MAX WIND...040/15KT 9.9KFT. STORM MOTION...055/5KT DRY LAPSE TO 3300FT...ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE ABOVE. 14/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/15/10 SFC...NW 8KT 250FT...NW 9KT 500FT...NW 9KT 1KFT...NW 10KT 2KFT...NW 10KT 3KFT...NW 10KT 4KFT...N 14KT 5KFT...NE 8KT MAX WIND...055/29KT 23.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...NEUTRAL 13600...INVERSION 17000...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 141440Z AUTO 24003KT SCT024 30/25 A3010 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 141455Z 24005KT 7SM CLR 30/23 A3009 METAR KIPN 141455Z AUTO 29006KT 10SM CLR 59/53 A3010 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 141455Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 29/25 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 141455Z AUTO 28006KT 8SM CLR 32/25 A3011 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 141455Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT020 32/25 A3009 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. KHUM 141132Z 1412/1512 19004KT P6SM SCT100 TEMPO 1412/1414 4SM BR FM141500 24006KT P6SM SCT035 FM150000 27003KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 1510/1512 4SM BR KHSA 141132Z 1412/1512 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM141500 25006KT P6SM SCT025 FM150100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT S WIND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...ISOLD LIGHT SHOWERS DETECTED ABOUT 20 NMI SOUTHWEST OF SPILL SITE. SHRA ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND NO LIGHTNING IS DETECTED AT THIS TIME. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS DETECTED ALONG AN E-W LINE ABOUT 55 NMI NORTH OF THE SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.46 FT AT 0936 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.66 FT AT 0958 CDT. WYCM6 1.16 FT AT 0936 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1400 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.2F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........29 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............86 88 89 89 89 89 89 88 RH..............81 76 71 69 68 66 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 102 103 103 103 102 100 98 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 4 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.0 3.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 1.9 1.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 9 9 9 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 31 32 36 53 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 87 84 84 82 81 RH..............63 64 73 75 82 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 95 92 93 89 88 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 NW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1500 1600 1600 1200 1300 MIX HGT (M).....580 460 490 490 370 400 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 13 W 16 W 16 W 16 NW 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 W 6 W 7 W 7 W 7 NW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC CH CH .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........70 74 73 72 72 71 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 87 87 RH..............91 88 79 71 71 69 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 93 98 100 100 99 20 FT WIND......NW 10 NW 9 N 7 NW 6 N 5 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1700 2500 2500 2100 1500 MIX HGT (M).....400 520 760 760 640 460 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18 NW 22 N 14 N 14 NW 9 NW 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 8 NW 10 N 6 N 6 NW 4 NW 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............1 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......CH CH LC LC LC SM $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100714.DEEPW.06/LIX