FNUS74 KLIX 141807 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 107 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1300 CDT...1020MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WITH A WITH RIDGE AXIS THROUGH SOUTHERN FLORIDA. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1020MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1300 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...105F HOUMA /HUM/...101F GULFPORT /GPT/...107F SLIDELL /ASD/... 96F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NE 5KT 250FT...NE 5KT 500FT...NE 4KT 1KFT...N 6KT 2KFT...NE 5KT 3KFT...NE 2KT 4KFT...SW 1KT 5KFT...SW 1KT MAX WIND...040/15KT 10.9KFT. STORM MOTION...060/5KT DRY LAPSE TO 3400FT...ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE ABOVE. 14/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/15/10 SFC...NW 8KT 250FT...NW 9KT 500FT...NW 9KT 1KFT...NW 10KT 2KFT...NW 10KT 3KFT...NW 10KT 4KFT...N 14KT 5KFT...NE 8KT MAX WIND...055/29KT 23.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...NEUTRAL 13600...INVERSION 17000...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KGAO 141740Z AUTO 24007KT 222V282 CLR 33/25 A3010 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 141755Z 26005KT 10SM SCT060 33/22 A3007 METAR KIPN 141755Z AUTO 29005KT 10SM CLR 56/48 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 141755Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 31/25 A3010 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 141755Z AUTO 30006KT 9SM BKN022 BKN028 31/25 A3011 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 141755Z AUTO VRB04KT 9SM FEW022 31/25 A3010 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. KHUM 141736Z 1418/1518 23006KT P6SM SCT040 FM150000 27003KT P6SM SCT250 FM151000 00000KT 4SM BR SKC FM151300 32005KT P6SM SCT025 KHSA 141736Z 1418/1518 23007KT P6SM SCT040 FM150100 VRB02KT P6SM FEW080 FM151500 33005KT P6SM FEW030 SCT120= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT S WIND. .RADAR... AT 1300 CDT...ISOLD LGT SHRA DETECTED ABOUT 40 NMI SW OF SPILL SITE. SHRA REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND NO LIGHTNING IS DETECTED AT THIS -TIME. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.47 FT AT 1236 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.29 FT AT 2145 CDT. WYCM6 1.83 FT AT 1236 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1400 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.6F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............88 88 89 89 88 RH..............69 68 66 65 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..103 103 102 100 102 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.3 2.3 1.9 1.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 31 32 36 53 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 86 84 83 82 80 RH..............72 75 77 78 82 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..102 97 93 91 89 87 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 NW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1500 1600 1600 1200 1300 MIX HGT (M).....580 460 490 490 370 400 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 13 W 16 W 16 W 16 NW 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 3 W 6 W 7 W 7 W 7 NW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC CH CH .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........70 74 73 72 72 71 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 87 88 89 88 RH..............94 88 74 69 67 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 91 100 100 102 99 20 FT WIND......NW 10 NW 9 N 7 NW 6 N 5 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1700 2500 2500 2100 1500 MIX HGT (M).....400 520 760 760 640 460 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18 NW 22 N 14 N 14 NW 9 NW 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 8 NW 10 N 6 N 6 NW 4 NW 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............1 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......CH CH LC LC LC SM $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100714.DEEPW.09/LIX