FNUS74 KLIX 150105 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 805 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 2000 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WITH A WITH RIDGE AXIS THROUGH SOUTHERN FLORIDA. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018MB. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BOUNDARY FROM FLA TO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI ARE BEGINNING TO MOVE IN A MORE DOMINANT SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. THIS ACTIVITY MAY BEGIN MOVING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WATERS LATER TONIGHT. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 2000 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 98F HOUMA /HUM/... 93F GULFPORT /GPT/...100F SLIDELL /ASD/... 99F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 01Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 5KT 250FT...E 6KT 500FT...E 6KT 1KFT...E 5KT 2KFT...SE 5KT 3KFT...SW 3KT 4KFT...W 5KT 5KFT...NW 3KT MAX WIND...041/15KT 12.1KFT. STORM MOTION...180/6KT DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...WEAK INVERSION TO 4900FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. 14/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/15/10 SFC...NW 8KT 250FT...NW 9KT 500FT...NW 9KT 1KFT...NW 10KT 2KFT...NW 10KT 3KFT...NW 10KT 4KFT...N 14KT 5KFT...NE 8KT MAX WIND...055/29KT 23.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...NEUTRAL 13600...INVERSION 17000...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 150051Z AUTO 25006KT 10SM CLR 30/26 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP169 T03000256 TSNO METAR KGAO 150040Z AUTO 00000KT CLR 31/24 A3002 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 142150Z 23003KT 10SM SCT080 32/22 A3002 METAR KIPN 150055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 57/49 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 150055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 150055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 150055Z AUTO 25010KT 9SM CLR 31/25 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. KHUM 142324Z 1500/1524 24005KT P6SM SCT050 FM150100 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM151000 00000KT 4SM BR SKC FM151300 32005KT P6SM SCT025 KHSA 142324Z 1500/1524 24004KT P6SM SKC FM150100 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM151500 33005KT P6SM FEW030 SCT120 FM151900 30005KT P6SM SCT040CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISOLD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT SW WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LIGHT S WIND. .RADAR... AT 2000 CDT...NO SHRA/TSRA DETECTED NEAR THE SOURCE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.57 FT AT 1936 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.29 FT AT 2145 CDT. WYCM6 0.61 FT AT 1936 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.20 FT AT 2330 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........31 31 31 32 32 36 45 53 61 70 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............86 85 84 84 83 83 82 81 80 80 RH..............77 77 77 78 80 82 88 91 94 94 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 96 93 92 91 91 89 88 87 87 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW W W W W W W NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.6 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH CH .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........70 74 73 72 72 71 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 87 88 89 88 RH..............94 88 74 69 67 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 91 100 100 102 99 20 FT WIND......NW 8 NW 7 N 6 N 6 NE 5 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1700 2100 2100 2100 1800 MIX HGT (M).....490 520 640 640 640 550 TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 NW 17 N 17 N 17 N 6 E 2 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 NW 8 N 8 N 8 N 3 E 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............1 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......CH CH LC LC LC SM .THURSDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........69 70 73 77 77 73 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 83 82 81 81 RH..............68 72 77 82 85 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 94 90 89 87 87 20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 5 SE 6 S 7 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1900 2500 2500 2700 2500 MIX HGT (M).....550 580 760 760 820 760 TRANSPORT WIND..E 2 SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 7 SE 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 1 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 3 SE 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ERICKSON REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100714.DEEPW.16/LIX