FNUS76 KMFR 141230
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEAN CREEK ELK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
530 AM PDT WED JUL 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEDNESDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TUESDAY WEATHER-WISE
ACROSS THE BURN AREA. ANY MORNING CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO BE VERY SHALLOW
AND SHOULD BURN OFF BY ABOUT 8-9 AM. WE'LL MAINTAIN THE OFFSHORE FLOW
ALOFT AND UPRIVER WIND GUSTS WILL BE STRONGEST DURING THE LATTER PART
OF THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
THE INVERSION WILL LOWER AND STRENGTHEN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL RELAX A BIT THURSDAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE MARINE STRATUS
TO PUSH A BIT FARTHER INLAND...BUT SHOULD CLEAR BACK TO THE COAST BY
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY LOW CLOUDS BEFORE 9 AM OTHERWISE SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 8 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 14 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO A MAX OF 3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR EARLY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51.
MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 90 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND 4 TO 6 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THEN SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO JUST 2000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...KEENE/SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...BILL ELAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100714.DEANC.01/MFR