FNAK79 PAFG 161308
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
508 AM AKDT FRI JUL 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1941 AKDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY DAY IS EXPECTED AT THE FIRE TODAY AS ONE WEATHER DISTURBANCE
EXITS TO THE EAST OF THE FIRE AND ANOTHER BEGINS TO DEVELOP WELL
TO THE NORTHWEST. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT...
AND BY SATURDAY A WETTING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. THE WEATHER WILL LIKELY
REMAIN UNSETTLED INTO SUNDAY WITH LOTS OF CLOUDS AND A FEW MORE
SHOWERS. NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH
                    AFTER NOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 8 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1200-1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN. PATCHY FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4500 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100715.501PA.01/AFG