FNUS72 KILM 151404
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR AIRCRAFT ACCIDENT...CRE FIRE DEPT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1004 AM EDT THU JUL 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0958 EDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DISSIPATING FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAIN TODAY. LOCALIZED PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS SOON AS LATE
MORNING TO AROUND MIDDAY. THUNDERSTORMS COULD LINGER OR REDEVELOP TONIGHT
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. WESTERN ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE
BACK ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DURING THE
SAME TIME PERIOD...THE PIEDMONT TROUGH WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR
INLAND AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-3700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............67     69     71     70     66
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................84     87     86     86     84
                    MIN HUMIDITY........80     72     72     73     78
WIND (20 FT)........SW 4   SW 5   S 6    S 8    S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     15     15     20

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...FIRE DEPT EMPLOYEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20100715.AIRCR.01/ILM