FNUS72 KILM 151911
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDWICK FIRE...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
311 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1503 EDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DISSIPATING FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAIN TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER OR REDEVELOP TONIGHT...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. WESTERN ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE
BACK ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DURING THE
SAME TIME PERIOD...THE PIEDMONT TROUGH WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR
INLAND AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN CALORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100715.HARDW.01/ILM