FNUS74 KLIX 151103 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 603 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0600 CDT...1018MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF AND WAS SHIFTING VERY SLOWLY WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0600 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...<90F HOUMA /HUM/...<90F GULFPORT /GPT/...<90F SLIDELL /ASD/...<90F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 99F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...W 8KT 250FT...W 8KT 500FT...W 8KT 1KFT...W 8KT 2KFT...NW 6KT 3KFT...NE 10KT 4KFT...NE 13KT 5KFT...NE 12KT MAX WIND...026/23KT 36.2KFT. STORM MOTION... 068/5KT DRY LAPSE TO 1500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. 14/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/15/10 SFC...NW 8KT 250FT...NW 9KT 500FT...NW 9KT 1KFT...NW 10KT 2KFT...NW 10KT 3KFT...NW 10KT 4KFT...N 14KT 5KFT...NE 8KT MAX WIND...055/29KT 23.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...NEUTRAL 13600...INVERSION 17000...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 151051Z AUTO 31006KT 10SM CLR 28/25 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP178 T02780250 TSNO METAR KGAO 151040Z AUTO 28003KT 25/24 A3006 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 142150Z 23003KT 10SM SCT080 32/22 A3002 METAR KIPN 151055Z AUTO 29006KT 10SM 55/49 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151055Z AUTO 29008KT 10SM FEW022 29/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151055Z AUTO 30010KT 10SM FEW024 BKN055 30/25 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 151055Z AUTO 29010KT 160V310 10SM SCT021 30/26 A3004 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. KHUM 151037Z 1511/1606 29015KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 1511/1513 5SM BR FM151300 32006KT P6SM SCT025 FM160000 23004KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 150525Z 1506/1606 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM151500 33005KT P6SM FEW030 SCT120 FM151900 29005KT P6SM SCT040CB FM160100 17003KT P6SM SCT100 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MOD SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...NO SHRA/TSRA DETECTED NEAR THE SOURCE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.98 FT AT 0536 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.32 FT AT 1147 CDT. WYCM6 0.95 FT AT 0536 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.32 FT AT 1434 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.3F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........42 42 42 42 34 34 34 33 33 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 84 86 87 88 89 89 89 89 89 88 RH..............97 94 91 85 80 76 72 69 69 69 71 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 92 96 100 101 102 103 103 103 103 103 102 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NW S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 6 6 6 1 1 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 6 6 6 3 3 3 0 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH LC LC LC LC LC LC SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 60 67 67 69 68 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 84 82 82 81 81 RH..............72 80 88 86 89 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 94 91 91 89 90 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 5 S 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2500 3100 3100 3200 3100 MIX HGT (M).....760 760 940 940 980 940 TRANSPORT WIND..N 1 E 2 SE 6 SE 6 SE 3 E 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 0 E 1 SE 3 SE 3 SE 1 E 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 68 58 58 56 43 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 83 87 89 90 90 RH..............91 85 75 68 64 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 93 99 99 99 99 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3300 3900 3900 4200 2900 MIX HGT (M).....940 1010 1190 1190 1280 880 TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 E 7 E 10 E 10 E 14 SE 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 1 E 3 E 4 E 4 E 6 SE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC CH CH CH LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100715.DEEPW.02/LIX