FNUS74 KLIX 151800 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 100 PM CDT THU JUL 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1300 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND WAS CONTINUING TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD. INVERTED TROUGH OR TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG 86W. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1300 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...105F HOUMA /HUM/...101F GULFPORT /GPT/...110F SLIDELL /ASD/...105F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/...106F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NW 9KT 250FT...NW 9KT 500FT...NW 10KT 1KFT...NW 12KT 2KFT...NW 14KT 3KFT...N 13KT 4KFT...N 11KT 5KFT...NW 6KT MAX WIND...040/22KT 21.1KFT STORM MOTION...063/8KT ROUGHLY DRY LAPSE TO 3100FT...WEAK INVERSION TO 5800FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. 14/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/15/10 SFC...NW 8KT 250FT...NW 9KT 500FT...NW 9KT 1KFT...NW 10KT 2KFT...NW 10KT 3KFT...NW 10KT 4KFT...N 14KT 5KFT...NE 8KT MAX WIND...055/29KT 23.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...NEUTRAL 13600...INVERSION 17000...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 151751Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 33/26 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP180 T03280256 10328 20278 58006 TSNO METAR KGAO 151740Z AUTO 25003KT CLR 33/25 A3007 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 151650Z 33004KT 10SM SCT050 33/24 A3004 METAR KIPN 151735Z AUTO 00000G10KT 10SM FEW016 57/48 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151735Z AUTO 35006KT 10SM 31/25 A3007 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151735Z AUTO 33012KT 10SM FEW022 30/25 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 151735Z AUTO 31008KT 9SM CLR 31/25 A3006 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. KHUM 151740Z 1518/1618 27006KT P6SM SCT040 FM160000 23004KT P6SM SCT250 FM161400 33004KT P6SM SCT030 PROB30 1615/1618 3SM TSRA BKN030CB KHSA 151740Z 1518/1618 33004KT P6SM SCT040 FM152200 22005KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB FM160000 17003KT P6SM FEW060 BKN200 FM161600 12004KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN080 PROB30 1616/1618 3SM TSRA BKN030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MOD SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1300 CDT...ALL THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY F THE PSILL SITE HAVE WEAKENED. MAINLY LGT TO MOD SHRA REMAINING WITH INFREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. CLOSEST LIGHTNING IS ABOUT 50 NMI NNW OF SPILL SITE. SHRA CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWESTARD. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.31 FT AT 1236 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.64 FT AT 2245 CDT. WYCM6 1.34 FT AT 1236 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.45 FT AT 1500 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.4F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........33 33 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 89 89 89 89 RH..............72 68 64 64 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..103 103 103 103 102 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 1 1 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 0 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 60 67 67 69 68 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 84 82 82 81 81 RH..............67 73 82 85 88 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 94 91 91 89 90 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 5 S 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2500 3100 3100 3200 3100 MIX HGT (M).....760 760 940 940 980 940 TRANSPORT WIND..N 1 E 2 SE 6 SE 6 SE 3 E 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 0 E 1 SE 3 SE 3 SE 1 E 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 68 58 58 56 43 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 87 88 89 89 RH..............85 82 68 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 93 99 99 99 99 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3300 3900 3900 4200 2900 MIX HGT (M).....940 1010 1190 1190 1280 880 TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 E 7 E 10 E 10 E 14 SE 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 1 E 3 E 4 E 4 E 6 SE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC CH CH CH LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100715.DEEPW.09/LIX