FNUS74 KLIX 151903 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 203 PM CDT THU JUL 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1400 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF AND WAS CONTINUING TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD. INVERTED TROUGH OR TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG 87W. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1400 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...102F HOUMA /HUM/...103F GULFPORT /GPT/...106F SLIDELL /ASD/...106F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/...105F WEST DELTA /DLP/...105F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 19Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NW 7KT 250FT...NW 8KT 500FT...NW 8KT 1KFT...NW 10KT 2KFT...N 13KT 3KFT...N 12KT 4KFT...N 11KT 5KFT...NW 8KT MAX WIND...041/26KT 19.5FT. STORM MOTION...067/9KT ROUGHLY DRY LAPSE TO 3800FT...WEAK INVERSION TO 5200FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. 14/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/15/10 SFC...NW 8KT 250FT...NW 9KT 500FT...NW 9KT 1KFT...NW 10KT 2KFT...NW 10KT 3KFT...NW 10KT 4KFT...N 14KT 5KFT...NE 8KT MAX WIND...055/29KT 23.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...NEUTRAL 13600...INVERSION 17000...PSEUDO LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 151851Z AUTO 34007KT 9SM CLR 33/25 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP170 T03280250 TSNO METAR KGAO 151840Z AUTO 00000KT SCT037 SCT055 33/24 A3004 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 151855Z 27004KT 10SM SCT060 34/23 A3001 METAR KIPN 151855Z AUTO VRB04G11KT 10SM SCT019 SCT024 54/45 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151855Z AUTO 36010KT 10SM 32/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151855Z AUTO 33012KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 151855Z AUTO VRB05G11KT 9SM CLR 33/25 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. KHUM 151740Z 1518/1618 27006KT P6SM SCT040 FM160000 23004KT P6SM SCT250 FM161400 33004KT P6SM SCT030 PROB30 1615/1618 3SM TSRA BKN030CB KHSA 151740Z 1518/1618 33004KT P6SM SCT040 FM152200 22005KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB FM160000 17003KT P6SM FEW060 BKN200 FM161600 12004KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN080 PROB30 1616/1618 3SM TSRA BKN030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MOD SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1400 CDT...SCT SHRA LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE SPILL SITE WITH ADDITIONAL SHRA ABOUT 60 NMI EAST OF SPILL SITE. MAINLY LGT PRECIPITATION. CLOSEST LIGHTNING IS ABOUT 60 NMI SW OF SPILL SITE. SHRA CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWESTARD. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.27 FT AT 1336 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.64 FT AT 2245 CDT. WYCM6 1.57 FT AT 1336 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.61 FT AT 1500 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.4F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........M 37 42 42 42 42 34 34 34 33 33 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....M ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....M TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............M 84 84 84 85 85 82 83 85 87 89 89 89 89 RH..............M 77 77 77 74 77 81 81 77 72 68 64 64 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..M 94 94 94 94 93 91 92 95 98 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND DIR..M NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NW S 20 FT WIND SPD..M 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.M 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...M 2.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....M 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.M W NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.M 8 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 6 6 6 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).M 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 3 3 3 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).M 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......M CH CH CH CH CH LC LC LC LC LC LC SM SM .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 50 67 67 69 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 84 82 82 81 81 RH..............67 73 82 85 88 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 92 89 90 88 88 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 5 S 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2500 3100 3100 3200 3100 MIX HGT (M).....760 760 940 940 980 940 TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 SE 6 S 13 S 13 S 9 S 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 1 SE 3 S 6 S 6 S 4 S 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............2 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........55 68 58 58 56 48 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 87 88 89 89 RH..............85 82 68 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 96 98 99 99 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3200 3700 3700 4100 3600 MIX HGT (M).....940 980 1130 1130 1250 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 SE 5 E 9 E 9 E 13 E 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 SE 2 E 4 E 4 E 6 E 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 50 50 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC CH CH CH LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100715.DEEPW.10/LIX