FNUS74 KLIX 160113 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 813 PM CDT THU JUL 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 2000 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WESTWARD TO NORTHWESTERN GULF. WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE AXIS IS COINDICENT WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 2000 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...103F HOUMA /HUM/... 93F GULFPORT /GPT/...110F SLIDELL /ASD/...103F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 99F WEST DELTA /DLP/...105F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 01Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 5KT 250FT...N 5KT 500FT...N 5KT 1KFT...N 8KT 2KFT...N 10KT 3KFT...N 10KT 4KFT...N 10KT 5KFT...N 10KT MAX WIND...051/32KT 22.1FT. STORM MOTION...084/9KT 14/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 7/15/10 SFC...NW 8KT 250FT...NW 9KT 500FT...NW 9KT 1KFT...NW 10KT 2KFT...NW 10KT 3KFT...NW 10KT 4KFT...N 14KT 5KFT...NE 8KT MAX WIND...055/29KT 23.4KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 160051Z AUTO 21004KT 9SM CLR 31/25 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP155 T03060250 TSNO METAR KGAO 160100Z AUTO 16004KT CLR 31/26 A2999 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 160055Z 21005KT 10SM CLR 29/27 A2995 METAR KIPN 160055Z AUTO 18007KT 10SM CLR 56/51 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 160055Z AUTO 29004KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 160055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW003 31/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 160055Z AUTO 22004KT 9SM CLR 33/25 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030. KHUM 152321Z 1600/1624 33004KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM160100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM161400 33004KT P6SM SCT030 PROB30 1615/1618 3SM TSRA BKN030CB FM161800 VRB04KT P6SM SCT040 PROB30 1618/1622 3SM TSRA BKN030CB KHSA 152321Z 1600/1624 30004KT P6SM SCT060 BKN200 FM160200 23004KT P6SM SCT250 FM161600 12006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN080 PROB30 1616/1619 3SM TSRA BKN030CB FM161900 15006KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB PROB30 1619/1624 3SM TSRA BKN035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MOD SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 2000 CDT...NO LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WITHIN 50NM OF SOURCE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.83 FT AT 1936 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.64 FT AT 2245 CDT. WYCM6 1.16 FT AT 1936 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.47 FT AT 2300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........50 67 67 67 69 69 69 69 55 55 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 83 82 82 82 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............79 82 82 85 88 88 88 88 88 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 91 89 90 90 88 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.6 13 13 13 13 9 9 9 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........55 68 58 58 56 48 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 87 88 89 89 RH..............85 82 68 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 96 98 99 99 20 FT WIND......SE 5 E 5 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3200 3700 3700 4100 3600 MIX HGT (M).....940 980 1130 1130 1250 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 SE 5 E 9 E 9 E 13 E 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 SE 2 E 4 E 4 E 6 E 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC CH CH CH LC .FRIDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........48 50 54 54 65 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 84 82 81 80 79 RH..............65 72 77 79 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 91 88 86 84 79 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 4100 3900 3900 3600 3400 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1250 1190 1190 1100 1040 TRANSPORT WIND..E 14 E 15 SE 17 SE 17 SE 17 E 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 6 E 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 E 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ERICKSON REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100715.DEEPW.16/LIX