FNUS72 KMLB 151834
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOWERS BLUFF MUD LAKE P-BURNS...US FOREST FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
234 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1415 EDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING
STORMS WERE IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE EARLIER TODAY BUT
THEY HAVE LIFTED NORTHWARD...ALLOWING SURFACE HEATING TO
REDEVELOP. ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FROM THE
SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS TODAY ARE MORE
UNSTABLE THAN RECENT DAYS WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG DOWNBURST
WINDS WHICH CAN EMANATE FAR FROM THE PARENT STORM AND POTENTIALLY
CAUSE SHIFTING WINDS AT THE BURN SITE. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        SCT SCT SCT SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............85  90  91  89  86  84  82  81  80  79  78  78
RH..............65  61  58  68  72  77  79  82  85  88  88  90
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   7   9   9   9   8   7   6   5   3   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  10  10  10              5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1800...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100715.BOWER.01/MLB