FNAK79 PAFG 171257
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
457 AM AKDT SAT JUL 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1901 AKDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FIRE
THIS WEEKEND. DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING SHOWERS
TO THE FIRE TODAY THAT WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON. IT
LOOKS LIKELY THAT THERE WILL BE A WETTING RAIN AT THE FIRE THIS
MORNING. DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE
OF SHOWERS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH
                    BY NOON. GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 3 TO 6 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 800-1200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS BECOMING MORE
                    WIDESPREAD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100716.501PA.01/AFG