FNUS74 KLIX 161129 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 629 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0600 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST-SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE WAS LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0600 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 88F HOUMA /HUM/... 89F GULFPORT /GPT/... 94F SLIDELL /ASD/... 86F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 86F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 79F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 3KT 250FT...E 4KT 500FT...E 4KT 1KFT...E 5KT 2KFT...E 7KT 3KFT...E 8KT 4KFT...E 11KT 5KFT...E 11KT MAX WIND...083/17KT 14.1FT. STORM MOTION...123/8KT 16/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z FRI 7/16/10 SFC...E 13KT 250FT...E 14KT 500FT...E 14KT 1KFT...E 15KT 2KFT...E 15KT 3KFT...E 16KT 4KFT...E 16KT 5KFT...SE 17KT MAX WIND...229/25KT 40.7KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 161051Z AUTO 25005KT 10SM SCT038 SCT050 BKN095 24/23 A3000 RMK AO2 PK WND 23027/1007 RAB32E48 SLP160 P0008 T02440228 TSNO METAR KGAO 161120Z AUTO 00000KT VCTS OVC050 27/26 A3001 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E THRU SW METAR KHSA 160055Z 21005KT 10SM CLR 29/27 A2995 METAR KIPN 161115Z AUTO 12012KT 10SM /55 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 161115Z AUTO 32009KT 10SM FEW021 29/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 161115Z AUTO 19010KT 5SM HZ 29/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 161115Z AUTO 08006KT 6SM HZ CLR 27/24 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030 NUM TSRA. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 NUM TSRA. KHUM 161120Z 1612/1712 33004KT P6SM SCT250 FM161400 33004KT P6SM SCT030 FM161800 11005KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB TEMPO 1619/1623 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 17004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 KHSA 161120Z 1612/1712 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM161500 13006KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB BKN080 TEMPO 1616/1620 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 16004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...SHRA DEVELOPING NEAR SPILL SITE. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED...BUT A FEW STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE AS CELL GROWS. OTHER ISOLD SHRA DEVELOPING IN BAND FROM 40 MI SE TO 40 MI SW OF SPILL SITE. MOVEMENT WSW 10 KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.06 FT AT 0550 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.92 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 1.24 FT AT 0550 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.33 FT AT 0745 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........59 64 64 64 57 57 57 53 53 53 49 49 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 81 82 85 87 88 89 90 90 90 90 89 RH..............85 85 82 74 69 66 63 60 60 60 60 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 87 89 94 98 98 99 99 99 99 99 98 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH CH LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 47 47 47 47 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 85 83 82 80 79 RH..............63 70 74 77 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 93 90 88 84 79 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 3800 4000 4000 4300 4000 MIX HGT (M).....980 1160 1220 1220 1310 1220 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 S 15 S 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............88 82 72 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..78 84 89 93 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 4000 4200 4200 4300 3200 MIX HGT (M).....1220 1220 1280 1280 1310 980 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 12 S 12 S 15 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.02/LIX