FNUS74 KLIX 161224 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 724 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0700 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST-SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE WAS LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0700 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 86F HOUMA /HUM/... 90F GULFPORT /GPT/... 97F SLIDELL /ASD/... 86F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 82F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 87F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 4KT 250FT...E 5KT 500FT...E 5KT 1KFT...E 6KT 2KFT...E 9KT 3KFT...E 12KT 4KFT...SE 12KT 5KFT...SE 10KT MAX WIND...076/17KT 13.5FT. STORM MOTION...121/8KT 16/10Z RUC13 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z FRI 7/16/10 SFC...E 12KT 250FT...E 13KT 500FT...E 14KT 1KFT...E 15KT 2KFT...E 15T 3KFT...SE 17KT 4KFT...SE 15KT 5KFT...SE 13KT MAX WIND...122/17KT 2.9KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 161151Z AUTO 30008KT 7SM FEW060 24/23 A3003 RMK AO2 RAB1055RAEMM SLP168 P0003 60011 70011 T02440228 10294 20239 53010 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 161200Z AUTO 15012G16KT TS SCT011 BKN026 OVC045 26/22 A3005 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 161150Z 00000KT 7SM SCT100 24/24 A2999 METAR KIPN 161215Z AUTO 14015KT 10SM CLR 59/56 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 161215Z AUTO 33008KT 9SM FEW024 30/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 161215Z AUTO VRB03KT 9SM FEW003 BKN023 BKN028 29/24 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 161215Z AUTO 33014G20KT 6SM HZ FEW023 BKN060 OVC080 27/22 A3001 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030 NUM TSRA. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 NUM TSRA. KHUM 161120Z 1612/1712 33004KT P6SM SCT250 FM161400 33004KT P6SM SCT030 FM161800 11005KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB TEMPO 1619/1623 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 17004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 KHSA 161120Z 1612/1712 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM161500 13006KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB BKN080 TEMPO 1616/1620 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 16004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...LINE OF SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA SLOWLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY NEAR SPILL SITE AND ALONG A LINE FROM 60 MI SW TO 60 MI NE OF SPILL SITE. MOVEMENT WSW 10 KT. ONLY A COUPLE LIGHTNING STRIKES DETECTED THUS FAR...BUT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY SHOULD SLOWLY INCREASE...ESPECIALLY 10-20 MILES W-SW OF THE SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.13 FT AT 0650 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.99 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 1.37 FT AT 0650 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.39 FT AT 0710 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........64 64 64 58 58 58 53 53 53 49 49 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 85 87 88 89 90 90 90 90 89 RH..............85 82 74 69 66 63 60 60 60 60 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 94 98 98 99 99 99 99 99 98 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH CH LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 47 47 47 47 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 85 83 82 80 79 RH..............63 70 74 77 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 93 90 88 84 79 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 3800 4000 4000 4300 4000 MIX HGT (M).....980 1160 1220 1220 1310 1220 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 S 15 S 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............88 82 72 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..78 84 89 93 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 4000 4200 4200 4300 3200 MIX HGT (M).....1220 1220 1280 1280 1310 980 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 12 S 12 S 15 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...22/TD NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.03/LIX