FNUS74 KLIX 161324 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 824 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0800 CDT...1020MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTH GEORGIA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST-SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE WAS LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0800 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 76F HOUMA /HUM/... 89F GULFPORT /GPT/... 98F SLIDELL /ASD/... 87F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 79F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 81F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 6KT 250FT...E 7KT 500FT...E 7KT 1KFT...E 8KT 2KFT...E 9KT 3KFT...SE 10KT 4KFT...SE 11KT 5KFT...SE 8KT MAX WIND...077/15KT 13.0FT. STORM MOTION...126/7KT 16/11Z RUC13 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z FRI 7/16/10 SFC...E 12KT 250FT...E 13KT 500FT...E 14KT 1KFT...E 15KT 2KFT...SE 15KT 3KFT...SE 16KT 4KFT...SE 14KT 5KFT...SE 13KT MAX WIND...122/17KT 2.9KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 161251Z AUTO 32007KT 10SM FEW080 25/23 A3005 RMK AO2 RAB12E24 SLP174 P0000 T02500228 TSNO METAR KGAO 161300Z AUTO 13003KT TS 23/22 A3007 RMK AO2 P0002 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 161250Z 21005KT 10SM SCT050 BKN075 27/26 A3003 METAR KIPN 161315Z AUTO 15013KT 10SM CLR /55 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 161315Z AUTO 11007G19KT 060V210 3SM HZ FEW016 BKN023 BKN028 28/25 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 161315Z AUTO 33009KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 161315Z AUTO 35016KT 5SM HZ FEW021 SCT050 BKN075 26/23 A3003 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN015-020 SCT-NUM TSRA WITH GUSTS 20-30KT. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025 SCT-NMRS TSRA. KHUM 161120Z 1612/1712 33004KT P6SM SCT250 FM161400 33004KT P6SM SCT030 FM161800 11005KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB TEMPO 1619/1623 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 17004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 KHSA 161120Z 1612/1712 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM161500 13006KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB BKN080 TEMPO 1616/1620 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 16004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 0800 CDT...LINE OF NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA SLOWLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY JUST NORTH AND WEST OF SPILL SITE AND ALONG A LINE FROM 70 MI SW TO 70 MI NE OF SPILL SITE. LINE MOVEMENT WNW 10 KT. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE ALONG LINE. LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED TSRA DEVELOPING IN NORTH CENTRAL GULF 70-100 MILES SE OF SPILL SITE AND MOVING NW AT 15 MPH. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.13 FT AT 0750 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.99 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 1.64 FT AT 0750 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.70 FT AT 0830 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........64 64 58 58 58 53 53 53 49 49 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 85 87 88 89 90 90 90 90 89 RH..............82 74 69 66 63 60 60 60 60 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 94 98 98 99 99 99 99 99 98 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC CH CH CH CH CH CH LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 47 47 47 47 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 85 83 82 80 79 RH..............63 70 74 77 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 93 90 88 84 79 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 3800 4000 4000 4300 4000 MIX HGT (M).....980 1160 1220 1220 1310 1220 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 S 15 S 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............88 82 72 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..78 84 89 93 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 4000 4200 4200 4300 3200 MIX HGT (M).....1220 1220 1280 1280 1310 980 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 12 S 12 S 15 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.04/LIX