FNUS74 KLIX 161423 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 923 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0800 CDT...1020MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTH GEORGIA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST-SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE WAS LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0800 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 76F HOUMA /HUM/... 76F GULFPORT /GPT/...100F SLIDELL /ASD/... 89F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 81F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 81F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 14Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 7KT 250FT...E 8KT 500FT...E 8KT 1KFT...E 9KT 2KFT...E 10KT 3KFT...SE 11KT 4KFT...SE 12KT 5KFT...SE 9KT MAX WIND...077/15KT 13.0FT. STORM MOTION...126/7KT 16/11Z RUC13 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z FRI 7/16/10 SFC...E 12KT 250FT...E 13KT 500FT...E 14KT 1KFT...E 15KT 2KFT...SE 15KT 3KFT...SE 16KT 4KFT...SE 14KT 5KFT...SE 13KT MAX WIND...122/17KT 2.9KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 161351Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 26/23 A3003 RMK AO2 RAB03E17 SLP170 P0000 T02560233 TSNO METAR KGAO 161400Z AUTO 26006KT TS BKN006 OVC012 23/22 A3002 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 161350Z 27004KT 10SM SCT100 29/25 A3002 METAR KIPN 161355Z AUTO 14006KT 10SM CLR /53 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 161355Z AUTO 13007KT 5SM BR CLR 27/25 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 161355Z AUTO 36015KT 8SM FEW017 FEW022 28/25 A3005 RMK METAR KDLP 161355Z AUTO 36008KT 8SM FEW055 FEW065 26/23 A3002 RMK .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN015-020 SCT-NUM SHRA/ISOLD TSRA WITH TOPS TO 350. MARINE AREAS...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN020 SCT-NMRS TSRA WITH TOPS TO 500 AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 KT. KHUM 161326Z 1613/1712 12004KT 5SM TSRA SCT020CB BKN025 FM161500 33004KT P6SM SCT030 FM161800 11005KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB TEMPO 1619/1623 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 17004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 KHSA 161120Z 1612/1712 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM161500 13006KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB BKN080 TEMPO 1616/1620 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 16004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 0900 CDT...LINE OF NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA EXTENDS FROM 100 MI WSW TO 85 MI NE OF SPILL SITE. LINE MOVEMENT WNW 10 KT. FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER STRIKES 25 NW OF SPILL SITE. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA OVER LARGE AREA OF NORTH CENTRAL GULF 50 TO OVER 100 MILES WEST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE SPILL SITE WITH MOVEMENT NW 10-15 KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.10 FT AT 0900 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.99 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 1.56 FT AT 0900 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.25 FT AT 1200 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........64 58 58 58 53 53 53 49 49 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 87 88 89 90 90 90 90 89 RH..............74 69 66 63 60 60 60 60 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 98 98 99 99 99 99 99 98 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.5 7 7 7 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH CH LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 47 47 47 47 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 85 83 82 80 79 RH..............63 70 74 77 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 93 90 88 84 79 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 3800 4000 4000 4300 4000 MIX HGT (M).....980 1160 1220 1220 1310 1220 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 S 15 S 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............88 82 72 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..78 84 89 93 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 4000 4200 4200 4300 3200 MIX HGT (M).....1220 1220 1280 1280 1310 980 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 12 S 12 S 15 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...22/TD NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.05/LIX