FNUS74 KLIX 161526 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1026 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1000 CDT...1020MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST NEAR THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE HAS EXPANDED NORTH AND IS NOW POSITIONED FROM 29.5 NORTH/88.5 WEST TO 24.0 NORTH/ 89.0 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1000 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 80F HOUMA /HUM/... 84F GULFPORT /GPT/... 99F SLIDELL /ASD/... 93F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 89F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 86F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 6KT 250FT...E 7KT 500FT...E 7KT 1KFT...E 8KT 2KFT...E 12KT 3KFT...SE 15KT 4KFT...SE 12KT 5KFT...SE 9KT MAX WIND...129/16KT 2.9FT. STORM MOTION...131/8KT 16/14Z RUC13 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 21Z FRI 7/16/10 SFC...E 14KT 250FT...E 14KT 500FT...E 14KT 1KFT...E 15KT 2KFT...SE 17KT 3KFT...SE 15KT 4KFT...SE 12KT 5KFT...E 10KT MAX WIND...119/17KT 2.0KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 161451Z AUTO 09003KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP173 60000 T02830228 51005 TSNO METAR KGAO 161500Z AUTO 29003KT 25/23 A3004 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE AND W PWINO METAR KHSA 161450Z 25006KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3002 METAR KIPN 161515Z AUTO 13015KT 10SM CLR 58/51 A3007 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 161515Z AUTO 06011KT 9SM CLR 29/24 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 161515Z AUTO 07010KT 9SM CLR 28/25 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 161515Z AUTO 08007KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A3004 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030 BKN100 ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 400. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT020 BKN040 SCT TSRA WITH TOPS TO 400 AND WIND GUSTS TO 30 KT. KHUM 161326Z 1613/1712 12004KT 5SM TSRA SCT020CB BKN025 FM161500 33004KT P6SM SCT030 FM161800 11005KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB TEMPO 1619/1623 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 17004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 KHSA 161120Z 1612/1712 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM161500 13006KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB BKN080 TEMPO 1616/1620 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 16004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA IS GREATER THAN 25 MI IN ALL DIRECTIONS FROM SPILL SITE. AREA OF TSRA WITH A FEW LIGHTING STRIKES 25-30 MI EAST OF SITE MOVING NW AT 15 KT. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHRA/ISOLD TSRA OVER LARGE AREA OF NORTH CENTRAL GULF 50 TO OVER 100 MILES WEST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE SPILL SITE WITH MOVEMENT NW 10-15 KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.07 FT AT 0945 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.99 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 1.32 FT AT 0945 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.17 FT AT 1130 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........58 58 58 53 53 53 49 49 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 88 89 90 90 90 90 89 RH..............69 66 63 60 60 60 60 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 98 99 99 99 99 99 98 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 4.6 4.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 47 47 47 47 46 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 85 83 82 80 79 RH..............63 70 74 77 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 93 90 88 84 79 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 3800 4000 4000 4300 4000 MIX HGT (M).....980 1160 1220 1220 1310 1220 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 S 15 S 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............88 82 72 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..78 84 89 93 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 4000 4200 4200 4300 3200 MIX HGT (M).....1220 1220 1280 1280 1310 980 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 12 S 12 S 15 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.06/LIX