FNUS74 KLIX 161737 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1237 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1200 CDT...1020MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTH GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST NEAR THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE EXENDED FROM 29.4 NORTH/88.6 WEST TO 24.0 NORTH/ 89.3 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1200 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 92F HOUMA /HUM/... 94F GULFPORT /GPT/... 95F SLIDELL /ASD/... 97F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 94F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 97F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 6KT 250FT...SE 7KT 500FT...SE 7KT 1KFT...SE 11KT 2KFT...SE 16KT 3KFT...SE 15KT 4KFT...SE 9KT 5KFT...E 6KT MAX WIND...066/16KT 20.5FT. STORM MOTION...134/8KT 16/16Z RUC13 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 21Z FRI 7/16/10 SFC...E 11KT 250FT...E 11KT 500FT...E 11KT 1KFT...E 12KT 2KFT...SE 14KT 3KFT...SE 13KT 4KFT...SE 10KT 5KFT...E 8KT MAX WIND...119/14KT 2.0KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 161651Z AUTO 15007KT 10SM FEW042 29/24 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP180 T02940244 TSNO METAR KGAO 161720Z AUTO 00000KT CLR 30/22 A3005 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE METAR KHSA 161650Z 00000KT 10SM VCTS SCT065 BKN090 28/26 A3003 METAR KIPN 161715Z AUTO 13012KT 10SM CLR 57/50 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 091220Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 161715Z AUTO 07007KT 050V190 10SM CLR 30/22 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 161715Z AUTO 09008KT 9SM FEW020 FEW050 29/25 A3006 RMK METAR KDLP 161715Z AUTO VRB06KT 9SM FEW042 SCT050 30/25 A3005 RMK .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030-040 ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 400. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT020 BKN040 SCT SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 400. KHUM 161723Z 1618/1718 21005KT P6SM SCT035 SCT100 FM162000 17007KT P6SM SCT035CB TEMPO 1621/1623 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 17004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 FM171500 18006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN050 KHSA 161723Z 1618/1718 16006KT P6SM SCT050CB BKN080 TEMPO 1618/1620 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 16003KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 FM171500 18007KT P6SM SCT025 BKN050= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1200 CDT...SCATTERED LIGHT SHRA WITH TOPS AOB 250 WERE DETECTED 10 MI NE...25-35 MI SE...AND 35 MI SW OF THE SPILL SITE. MOVEMENT WAS NW AT 10-15 KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.01 FT AT 1150 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.97 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 0.78 FT AT 1150 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.75 FT AT 1230 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........69 67 67 67 67 67 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............89 90 90 90 90 89 RH..............63 60 60 60 60 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 99 99 99 99 98 20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 11 11 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.7 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........67 47 47 47 47 46 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 85 83 82 80 79 RH..............63 70 74 77 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 93 90 88 84 79 20 FT WIND......E 11 E 11 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 3800 4000 4000 4300 4000 MIX HGT (M).....980 1160 1220 1220 1310 1220 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 S 15 S 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............88 82 72 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..78 84 89 93 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 9 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 4000 4200 4200 4300 3200 MIX HGT (M).....1220 1220 1280 1280 1310 980 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 12 S 12 S 15 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.08/LIX