FNUS74 KLIX 162132 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 432 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1600 CDT...1018MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTH GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF LOUISIANA. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDED FROM 29.0 NORTH/90.0 WEST TO 24.0 NORTH/ 90.3 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1600 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...105F HOUMA /HUM/... 98F GULFPORT /GPT/... 95F SLIDELL /ASD/... 88F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 95F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 98F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 9KT 250FT...SE 10KT 500FT...SE 11KT 1KFT...SE 11KT 2KFT...SE 11KT 3KFT...SE 9KT 4KFT...E 9KT 5KFT...E 10KT MAX WIND...122/14KT 9.2FT. STORM MOTION...147/8KT 16/20Z RUC13 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 01Z 7/17/10 SFC...E 11KT 250FT...E 11KT 500FT...E 12KT 1KFT...E 10KT 2KFT...E 10KT 3KFT...E 9KT 4KFT...E 10KT 5KFT...E 10KT MAX WIND...105/18KT 22.1KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 162051Z AUTO 11007KT 10SM CLR 31/23 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP163 T03060233 58015 TSNO METAR KGAO 162120Z AUTO 07004KT CLR 32/26 A3000 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 162050Z 21006KT 5SM BR SCT006 SCT012 BKN045 26/26 A3000 METAR KIPN 161955Z AUTO 13013KT 10SM CLR 56/51 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 162115Z AUTO VRB04G10KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 162115Z AUTO 13013KT 10SM FEW024 30/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 162115Z AUTO VRB06KT 10SM FEW023 31/25 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035 ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 300. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW020 SCT035 ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 350. KHUM 161723Z 1618/1718 21005KT P6SM SCT035 SCT100 FM162000 17007KT P6SM SCT035CB TEMPO 1621/1623 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 17004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 FM171500 18006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN050 KHSA 161723Z 1618/1718 16006KT P6SM SCT050CB BKN080 TEMPO 1618/1620 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 16003KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 FM171500 18007KT P6SM SCT025 BKN050= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1600 CDT...ISOLD SHRA GREATER THAN 25 MI TO SE AND NW OF THE SPILL SITE. MOVEMENT WAS NW AT 12 KT. NO LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.96 FT AT 1550 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.93 FT AT 2030 CDT. WYCM6 1.24 FT AT 1550 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.76 FT AT 2300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88F. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........67 67 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TEMP............90 89 RH..............60 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 98 20 FT WIND DIR..E E 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 SEAS............2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........67 47 47 47 47 46 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 85 83 82 81 80 RH..............63 72 77 77 79 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 94 90 88 86 84 20 FT WIND......E 11 E 11 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 3400 3300 3300 3300 3400 MIX HGT (M).....980 1040 1010 1010 1010 1040 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 9 SE 13 SE 13 SE 15 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4 SE 4 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............85 82 77 72 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..79 84 90 96 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 9 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3400 3700 3700 3800 3900 MIX HGT (M).....1040 1040 1130 1130 1160 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 15 S 16 S 16 S 16 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.12/LIX