FNUS74 KLIX 162322 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 622 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1800 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTH GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF LOUISIANA. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDED FROM 29.0 NORTH/90.0 WEST TO 24.0 NORTH/ 90.3 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017.5MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1800 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...100F HOUMA /HUM/... 98F GULFPORT /GPT/... 95F SLIDELL /ASD/... 94F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 95F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 14KT 250FT...ESE 11KT 500FT...ESE 12KT 1KFT...ESE 12KT 2KFT...ESE 13KT 3KFT...ESE 13KT 4KFT...ESE 14KT 5KFT...SE 16KT MAX WIND...053/25KT 46.9FT. STORM MOTION...154/9KT 16/20Z RUC13 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 01Z 7/17/10 SFC...E 11KT 250FT...E 11KT 500FT...E 12KT 1KFT...E 10KT 2KFT...E 10KT 3KFT...E 9KT 4KFT...E 10KT 5KFT...E 10KT MAX WIND...105/18KT 22.1KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 162251Z AUTO 13007KT 10SM FEW028 30/24 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP159 T03000239 TSNO METAR KGAO 162300Z AUTO 12004KT CLR 31/25 A2999 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 162251Z 00000KT 7SM SCT015 OVC060 28/26 A3002 METAR KIPN 162305Z AUTO 10012KT 10SM SCT020 BKN028 BKN037 57/52 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 162145Z AUTO 13012KT 10SM 29/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 162315Z AUTO 13008KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 162315Z AUTO 15015KT 10SM FEW021 29/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 162315Z AUTO 16009KT 10SM FEW026 FEW033 31/24 A2999 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035 ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 300. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW020 SCT035 ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 350. KHUM 162211Z 1622/1718 17005KT P6SM SCT100 FM170100 17004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 FM171500 18006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN050 KHSA 161723Z 1618/1718 16006KT P6SM SCT050CB BKN080 TEMPO 1618/1620 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM170100 16003KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120 FM171500 18007KT P6SM SCT025 BKN050= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1800 CDT...ISOLD SHRA GREATER THAN 105 MI TO SW AND GREATER THAN 100 MI N OF THE SPILL SITE. MOVEMENT WAS NW AT 12 KT. NO LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.97 FT AT 1741 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.93 FT AT 2030 CDT. WYCM6 0.95 FT AT 1750 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.76 FT AT 2300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.3F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........67 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............88 86 85 83 83 82 82 81 81 80 80 80 RH..............72 72 77 77 77 77 79 79 82 82 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 96 94 90 90 88 88 86 86 84 84 84 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 13 13 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............85 82 77 72 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..79 84 90 96 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 9 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3400 3700 3700 3800 3900 MIX HGT (M).....1040 1040 1130 1130 1160 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 15 S 16 S 16 S 16 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 45 56 56 62 64 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 83 81 80 80 80 RH..............75 80 85 88 88 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 91 87 86 86 86 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 9 S 9 SE 8 SE 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 3100 3400 3400 3700 3300 MIX HGT (M).....1190 940 1040 1040 1130 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 13 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ZEIGLER REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.14/LIX