FNUS74 KLIX 170007 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 707 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1800 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTH GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF LOUISIANA. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDED FROM 29.0 NORTH/90.0 WEST TO 24.0 NORTH/ 90.3 WEST. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017.5MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1800 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...100F HOUMA /HUM/... 98F GULFPORT /GPT/... 95F SLIDELL /ASD/... 94F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 95F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 14KT 250FT...ESE 09KT 500FT...E 10KT 1KFT...E 10KT 2KFT...ESE 10KT 3KFT...ESE 11KT 4KFT...SE 13KT 5KFT...SE 16KT MAX WIND...070/25KT 51.1FT. STORM MOTION...152/9KT 16/20Z RUC13 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 01Z 7/17/10 SFC...E 11KT 250FT...E 11KT 500FT...E 12KT 1KFT...E 10KT 2KFT...E 10KT 3KFT...E 9KT 4KFT...E 10KT 5KFT...E 10KT MAX WIND...105/18KT 22.1KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 162351Z AUTO 13007KT 10SM CLR 29/24 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP163 T02940239 10317 20294 53001 TSNO METAR KGAO 170000Z AUTO 09004KT SCT028 30/25 A3002 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 162351Z 00000KT 7SM SCT015 OVC070 28/26 A3003 METAR KIPN 162355Z AUTO 09012KT 10SM SCT019 SCT024 58/53 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 162145Z AUTO 13012KT 10SM 29/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 162355Z AUTO 13007KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 162355Z AUTO 14016KT 10SM FEW023 SCT031 29/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 162355Z AUTO 16009KT 10SM SCT025 BKN030 BKN036 31/24 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025-035 ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 300. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW020 SCT035 ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 350. KHUM 162336Z 1700/1724 15004KT P6SM SCT030 SCT130 BKN250 FM170300 16004KT P6SM FEW050 BKN250 FM171000 15003KT P6SM SCT025 FM171500 16007KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050 PROB30 1715/1718 3SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM171800 17009KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050 TEMPO 1718/1722 2SM TSRA BKN030CB KHSA 162336Z 1700/1724 VRB04KT P6SM SCT030 SCT150 BKN250 FM171000 14004KT P6SM SCT028 BKN050 FM171500 16008KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050 PROB30 1715/1718 3SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM171800 17009KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050 TEMPO 1718/1722 2SM TSRA SCT022CB BKN030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT030 BKN050. NUM SHRA/TSRA. MOD SE WIND BCMG S AFT 21Z. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1900 CDT...ISOLD SHRA HAVE DEVELOPED OVER BRETON SOUTH...OVER THE UPPER CHANDELEUR ISLANDS AND NORTH OF HORN ISLAND. MOVEMENT WAS NW AT 12 KT. NO LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.01 FT AT 1830 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.93 FT AT 2030 CDT. WYCM6 1.06 FT AT 1824 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.76 FT AT 2300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.3F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 46 46 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............86 85 83 83 82 82 81 81 80 80 80 RH..............72 77 77 77 77 79 79 82 82 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 94 90 90 88 88 86 86 84 84 84 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 13 13 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 80 83 86 87 87 RH..............85 82 77 72 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..79 84 90 96 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 9 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3400 3700 3700 3800 3900 MIX HGT (M).....1040 1040 1130 1130 1160 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 15 S 16 S 16 S 16 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 45 56 56 62 64 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 83 81 80 80 80 RH..............75 80 85 88 88 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 91 87 86 86 86 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 9 S 9 SE 8 SE 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 3100 3400 3400 3700 3300 MIX HGT (M).....1190 940 1040 1040 1130 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 13 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ZEIGLER REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100716.DEEPW.15/LIX